Cambuur vs Groningen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
The Footlab model makes Groningen the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Cambuur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cambuur vs Groningen?
Groningen starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,949 vs 1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cambuur have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Groningen have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 2-5 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cambuur win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Groningen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2024 | Groningen 3-0 Cambuur | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Cambuur 2-1 Groningen | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 26, 2023 | Groningen 0-1 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| Dec 9, 2022 | Groningen 1-1 Cambuur | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Cambuur 0-1 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| May 15, 2022 | Groningen 2-3 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Cambuur score 1.5 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Groningen score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | 1.5 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Groningen | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cambuur sit 18th in Eredivisie (0 points from 3 matches) and Groningen sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Groningen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cambuur vs Groningen?
- The Footlab model makes Groningen the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Cambuur.
- Where and when is Cambuur vs Groningen played?
- Cambuur vs Groningen is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kooi Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.