PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for PEC Zwolle. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?
PSV Eindhoven is a heavy favourite: 2,205 Elo points against 1,811, a 394-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1- 21S. Mijnans
- 20G. Til
- 24K. Sano
- 7R. van Bommel
- 5I. Perišić
- 31N. Fernandez
- 4A. Obispo
- 8S. Dest
- 17Mauro Júnior
- 2L. Geertruida
- 32M. Kovář
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1- 10K. Kostons
- 8T. Sommer
- 11D. Mbayo
- 22I. Cissoko
- 25T. Oosting
- 30R. Thomas
- 24N. Viergever
- 28S. Graves
- 3O. Aertssen
- 2S. Floranus
- 1J. Schendelaar
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSV Eindhoven have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; PEC Zwolle have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Twente(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 0-7 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 29, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 PSV Eindhoven wins, 0 draws, 1 PEC Zwolle win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven 6-1 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Oct 4, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 0-4 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Jan 18, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 3-1 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Oct 26, 2024 | PSV Eindhoven 6-0 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PEC Zwolle 1-7 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Nov 12, 2023 | PSV Eindhoven 4-0 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle on Apr 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PSV Eindhoven score 2.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; PEC Zwolle score 1.0 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| PEC Zwolle | 1.0 | 2.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PSV Eindhoven sit 2nd in Eredivisie (19 points from 8 matches) and PEC Zwolle sit 16th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 19 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 4 |
A question about PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?
- The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for PEC Zwolle.
- Where and when is PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle played?
- PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Philips Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.