NEC Nijmegen vs Cambuur: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 11:15 AM (UTC)Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Cambuur. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Cambuur?
NEC Nijmegen starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,983 vs 1,792).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NEC Nijmegen vs Cambuur
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1- 30B. Linssen
- 9T. Chery
- 20N. Lebreton
- 6D. Nejašmić
- 10D. Tadić
- 34Kevin Kers
- 77A. Thomas
- 21T. Storm
- 73Gabriel Brás
- 4P. Schuurs
- 1G. Crettaz
Cambuur
4-2-3-1- 33M. Maertens
- 8N. Souren
- 10R. El Arguioui
- 11I. Hamache
- 15F. Kvam
- 17Ethan Apkakou
- 4I. Baouf
- 28M. Costarelli
- 14B. van Duijl
- 2D. Bouah
- 1T. Jansen
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEC Nijmegen have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Cambuur have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Twente(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 NEC Nijmegen wins, 1 draw, 1 Cambuur win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cambuur 3-0 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Cambuur 1-2 NEC Nijmegen | KNVB Beker |
| Feb 11, 2023 | NEC Nijmegen 0-0 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| Nov 4, 2022 | Cambuur 0-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Cambuur 1-2 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Dec 16, 2021 | Cambuur 1-2 NEC Nijmegen | KNVB Beker |
Last archived meeting: Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NEC Nijmegen score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cambuur score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Cambuur | 1.4 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NEC Nijmegen sit 11th in Eredivisie (9 points from 8 matches) and Cambuur sit 12th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 8 |
A question about NEC Nijmegen vs Cambuur?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs Cambuur?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Cambuur.
- Where and when is NEC Nijmegen vs Cambuur played?
- NEC Nijmegen vs Cambuur is played on January 10, 2027 at 11:15 AM (UTC) at Goffertstadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.