NEC Nijmegen vs Cambuur: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 11:15 AM (UTC)Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
The Footlab model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Cambuur. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Cambuur?
NEC Nijmegen starts as the favourite with a 279-point Elo edge (2,051 vs 1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEC Nijmegen have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Cambuur have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 2-5 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 NEC Nijmegen win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cambuur win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | Cambuur 1-2 NEC Nijmegen | KNVB Beker |
| Feb 11, 2023 | NEC Nijmegen 0-0 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| Nov 4, 2022 | Cambuur 0-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Cambuur 1-2 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Dec 16, 2021 | Cambuur 1-2 NEC Nijmegen | KNVB Beker |
| Nov 26, 2021 | NEC Nijmegen 2-3 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen on Feb 27, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
NEC Nijmegen score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cambuur score 1.5 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Cambuur | 1.5 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NEC Nijmegen sit 11th in Eredivisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Cambuur sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs Cambuur?
- The Footlab model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Cambuur.
- Where and when is NEC Nijmegen vs Cambuur played?
- NEC Nijmegen vs Cambuur is played on January 10, 2027 at 11:15 AM (UTC) at Goffertstadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.