Cameroon vs Congo: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 6Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Omnisports de Bafoussam, Bafoussam
The Footlab model makes Cameroon the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Congo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cameroon vs Congo?
Cameroon starts as the favourite with a 235-point Elo edge (1,647 vs 1,412).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cameroon have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Congo have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | China(away) | 2-0 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Australia(away) | 0-1 | FIFA Series |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Morocco(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 4, 2026 | South Africa(away) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Mozambique(away) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | Morocco(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Niger(away) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Tanzania(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Nigeria(away) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Senegal(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Cameroon win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Congo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | Cameroon 1-0 Congo | African Nations Championship |
| Feb 20, 2020 | Congo 1-1 Cameroon | Friendlies |
| Jan 16, 2018 | Cameroon 0-1 Congo | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Congo 0-1 Cameroon | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 18, 2015 | Cameroon 0-0 Congo | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Cameroon score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Congo score 0.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameroon | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Congo | 0.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cameroon sit 1st in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (14 points from 6 matches) and Congo sit 3rd (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameroon | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 | Congo | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cameroon vs Congo?
- The Footlab model makes Cameroon the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Congo.
- Where and when is Cameroon vs Congo played?
- Cameroon vs Congo is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Omnisports de Bafoussam, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.