Where and when is Canvey Island vs Grays Athletic played?

Canvey Island vs Grays Athletic is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Steves Taxis Stadium, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Canvey Island vs Grays Athletic: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Steves Taxis Stadium, Canvey Island, Essex

Canvey Island

Grays Athletic

The Footlab model makes Canvey Island the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Grays Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Canvey Island vs Grays Athletic?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Canvey Island (1,570) and Grays Athletic (1,610).

Canvey Island win40 %

Draw26 %

Grays Athletic win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Canvey Island have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Grays Athletic have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Canvey Island
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 28, 2026	Aveley(home)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Ramsgate(home)	2-4	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 18, 2026	St Albans City(away)	1-4	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 11, 2026	Dartford(home)	0-4	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 6, 2026	Billericay Town(away)	2-3	Non League Premier - Isthmian

Grays Athletic
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Gorleston(away)	1-3	Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 18, 2026	Lowestoft Town(home)	1-2	Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 11, 2026	Concord Rangers(home)	1-0	Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 6, 2026	Tilbury(away)	0-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 4, 2026	Brightlingsea Regent(home)	2-0	Non League Div One - Isthmian North

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Canvey Island win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Grays Athletic win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2023	Canvey Island 1-1 Grays Athletic	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 18, 2022	Canvey Island 3-1 Grays Athletic	Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Jan 1, 2022	Grays Athletic 1-3 Canvey Island	Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Sep 26, 2020	Grays Athletic 0-4 Canvey Island	Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Aug 20, 2019	Canvey Island 2-1 Grays Athletic	Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Nov 5, 2011	Grays Athletic 2-3 Canvey Island	FA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Canvey Island vs Grays Athletic on Aug 1, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Canvey Island score 0.9 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Grays Athletic score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Canvey Island	0.9	2.6	0	9/15	11/15
Grays Athletic	0.9	1.3	4	5/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Canvey Island vs Grays Athletic?: The Footlab model makes Canvey Island the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Grays Athletic.
Where and when is Canvey Island vs Grays Athletic played?: Canvey Island vs Grays Athletic is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Steves Taxis Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.