Where and when is Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions played?

Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 24Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

Cardiff Draconians

Ynyshir Albions

The Footlab model makes Cardiff Draconians the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Ynyshir Albions. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions?

A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Cardiff Draconians (1,549) and Ynyshir Albions (1,450).

Cardiff Draconians win56 %

Draw22 %

Ynyshir Albions win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff Draconians have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Ynyshir Albions have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cardiff Draconians
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	llanelli AFC(home)	4-2	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Pontypridd Town(home)	1-4	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Caerphilly Athletic(away)	0-0	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Ynyshir Albions(away)	0-1	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Afan Lido(home)	4-1	FAW Championship

Ynyshir Albions
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Caerphilly Athletic(away)	1-2	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(away)	1-1	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Cardiff Draconians(home)	1-0	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(home)	0-0	FAW Championship
Apr 4, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(away)	0-2	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Cardiff Draconians win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ynyshir Albions win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Ynyshir Albions 1-0 Cardiff Draconians	FAW Championship
Mar 24, 2026	Cardiff Draconians 4-1 Ynyshir Albions	FAW Championship
Oct 11, 2025	Ynyshir Albions 0-0 Cardiff Draconians	FAW Championship
Jul 19, 2025	Ynyshir Albions 4-1 Cardiff Draconians	League Cup

Last archived meeting: Ynyshir Albions vs Cardiff Draconians on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cardiff Draconians score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ynyshir Albions score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cardiff Draconians	1.7	2.0	1	10/15	11/15
Ynyshir Albions	1.1	1.4	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cardiff Draconians sit 10th in FAW Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Ynyshir Albions sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Ynyshir Albions	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
10	Cardiff Draconians	4	1	1	2	5	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions?: The Footlab model makes Cardiff Draconians the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Ynyshir Albions.
Where and when is Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions played?: Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.