Pontardawe Town vs Swansea University: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 24Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parc Ynysderw, Swansea
The Footlab model makes Swansea University the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Pontardawe Town. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontardawe Town vs Swansea University?
Swansea University starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,557 vs 1,447).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontardawe Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Swansea University have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 1-6 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Pontardawe Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Swansea University win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2023 | Swansea University 2-3 Pontardawe Town | FAW Championship |
| Dec 27, 2022 | Pontardawe Town 2-3 Swansea University | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Swansea University vs Pontardawe Town on Jan 2, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Pontardawe Town score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea University score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontardawe Town | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Swansea University | 1.9 | 1.6 | 6 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontardawe Town sit 13th in FAW Championship (3 points from 4 matches) and Swansea University sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea University | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 13 | Pontardawe Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontardawe Town vs Swansea University?
- The Footlab model makes Swansea University the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Pontardawe Town.
- Where and when is Pontardawe Town vs Swansea University played?
- Pontardawe Town vs Swansea University is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Parc Ynysderw, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 19, 2027Pontypridd TownvsNewport City
- Feb 20, 2027Llantwit MajorvsAfan Lido
- Feb 20, 2027Cardiff DraconiansvsYnyshir Albions
- Feb 20, 2027Baglan Dragonsvsllanelli AFC
- Feb 20, 2027Treowen StarsvsCaerau (Ely)
- Feb 20, 2027Trethomas BluebirdsvsCarmarthen Town
- Feb 20, 2027Aberystwyth TownvsCaerphilly Athletic