Where and when is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town played?

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 24Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, Ystrad Mynach, Caerphilly

Trethomas Bluebirds

Carmarthen Town

The Footlab model makes Carmarthen Town the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Trethomas Bluebirds. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town?

Carmarthen Town starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,616 vs 1,512).

Trethomas Bluebirds win31 %

Draw21 %

Carmarthen Town win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trethomas Bluebirds have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Carmarthen Town have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trethomas Bluebirds
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Pontypridd Town(away)	1-2	FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(home)	2-4	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	llanelli AFC(away)	1-1	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	Baglan Dragons(home)	0-0	FAW Championship
Jul 14, 2026	Barry Town(away)	1-5	Friendlies Clubs

Carmarthen Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Treowen Stars(home)	2-4	FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026	Afan Lido(home)	3-1	FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Newport City(away)	2-1	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(home)	4-3	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Treowen Stars(away)	1-4	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Trethomas Bluebirds win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Carmarthen Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 6, 2026	Trethomas Bluebirds 4-5 Carmarthen Town	FAW Championship
Nov 8, 2025	Carmarthen Town 1-1 Trethomas Bluebirds	FAW Championship
Oct 18, 2025	Carmarthen Town 5-1 Trethomas Bluebirds	Welsh Cup
Dec 28, 2024	Trethomas Bluebirds 3-0 Carmarthen Town	FAW Championship
Oct 5, 2024	Carmarthen Town 2-0 Trethomas Bluebirds	FAW Championship
Sep 4, 2021	Carmarthen Town 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds	Welsh Cup

Last archived meeting: Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town on Mar 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Carmarthen Town score 2.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Trethomas Bluebirds	1.5	2.3	3	10/15	9/15
Carmarthen Town	2.5	2.0	3	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Trethomas Bluebirds sit 14th in FAW Championship (2 points from 4 matches) and Carmarthen Town sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Carmarthen Town	4	3	0	1	11	9	9
14	Trethomas Bluebirds	4	0	2	2	4	7	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town?: The Footlab model makes Carmarthen Town the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Trethomas Bluebirds.
Where and when is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town played?: Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.