Baglan Dragons vs llanelli AFC: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 24Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot
The Footlab AI model makes Baglan Dragons the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for llanelli AFC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Baglan Dragons wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baglan Dragons vs llanelli AFC?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Baglan Dragons (1,548) and llanelli AFC (1,535).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Baglan Dragons vs llanelli AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Baglan Dragons
Not enough data to predict the Baglan Dragons lineup.
llanelli AFC
Not enough data to predict the llanelli AFC lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; llanelli AFC have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | llanelli AFC(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 2-6 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Baglan Dragons win, 1 draw, 3 llanelli AFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | llanelli AFC 1-2 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Dec 30, 2024 | llanelli AFC 2-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 2-2 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 1-2 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Sep 8, 2023 | llanelli AFC 2-1 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons on Oct 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baglan Dragons score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; llanelli AFC score 0.8 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| llanelli AFC | 0.8 | 3.1 | 0 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baglan Dragons sit 5th in FAW Championship (17 points from 11 matches) and llanelli AFC sit 16th (2 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 2 |
A question about Baglan Dragons vs llanelli AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baglan Dragons vs llanelli AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Baglan Dragons the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for llanelli AFC.
- Where and when is Baglan Dragons vs llanelli AFC played?
- Baglan Dragons vs llanelli AFC is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 19, 2027Pontypridd TownvsNewport City
- Feb 20, 2027Llantwit MajorvsAfan Lido
- Feb 20, 2027Cardiff DraconiansvsYnyshir Albions
- Feb 20, 2027Trethomas BluebirdsvsCarmarthen Town
- Feb 20, 2027Pontardawe TownvsSwansea University
- Feb 20, 2027Treowen StarsvsCaerau (Ely)
- Feb 20, 2027Aberystwyth TownvsCaerphilly Athletic