Where and when is Baglan Dragons vs llanelli AFC played?

Baglan Dragons vs llanelli AFC is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Baglan Dragons vs llanelli AFC: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 24Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot

Baglan Dragons

llanelli AFC

The Footlab model makes Baglan Dragons the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for llanelli AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Baglan Dragons vs llanelli AFC?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Baglan Dragons (1,474) and llanelli AFC (1,559).

Baglan Dragons win40 %

Draw24 %

llanelli AFC win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; llanelli AFC have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Baglan Dragons
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Newport City(away)	1-0	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Llantwit Major(away)	1-0	FAW Championship
Aug 9, 2026	Swansea University(home)	0-3	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	Trethomas Bluebirds(away)	0-0	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Trethomas Bluebirds(home)	1-1	FAW Championship

llanelli AFC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cardiff Draconians(away)	2-4	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Swansea University(away)	0-3	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Trethomas Bluebirds(home)	1-1	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	Newport City(home)	1-4	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Haverfordwest County AFC(away)	0-6	Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Baglan Dragons win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 llanelli AFC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 30, 2024	llanelli AFC 2-0 Baglan Dragons	FAW Championship
Aug 23, 2024	Baglan Dragons 2-2 llanelli AFC	FAW Championship
Mar 2, 2024	Baglan Dragons 1-2 llanelli AFC	FAW Championship
Sep 8, 2023	llanelli AFC 2-1 Baglan Dragons	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons on Dec 30, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Baglan Dragons score 0.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; llanelli AFC score 0.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Baglan Dragons	0.5	2.1	4	4/15	7/15
llanelli AFC	0.7	2.7	1	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Baglan Dragons sit 5th in FAW Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and llanelli AFC sit 15th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Baglan Dragons	4	2	1	1	2	3	7
15	llanelli AFC	4	0	1	3	4	12	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Baglan Dragons vs llanelli AFC?: The Footlab model makes Baglan Dragons the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for llanelli AFC.
Where and when is Baglan Dragons vs llanelli AFC played?: Baglan Dragons vs llanelli AFC is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.