Pontypridd Town vs Newport City: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 24Kick-off on February 19, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)USW Sports Park, Treforest, Pontypridd
The Footlab model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Newport City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontypridd Town vs Newport City?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Pontypridd Town (1,600) and Newport City (1,558).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontypridd Town have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Newport City have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(away) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | llanelli AFC(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Pontypridd Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Newport City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | Newport City 0-0 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Pontypridd Town 1-3 Newport City | FAW Championship |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Pontypridd Town 0-2 Newport City | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Newport City 0-1 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Newport City vs Pontypridd Town on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Pontypridd Town score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Newport City score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontypridd Town | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Newport City | 1.3 | 2.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontypridd Town sit 2nd in FAW Championship (12 points from 4 matches) and Newport City sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Newport City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontypridd Town vs Newport City?
- The Footlab model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Newport City.
- Where and when is Pontypridd Town vs Newport City played?
- Pontypridd Town vs Newport City is played on February 19, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at USW Sports Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027Pontardawe TownvsSwansea University
- Feb 20, 2027Llantwit MajorvsAfan Lido
- Feb 20, 2027Cardiff DraconiansvsYnyshir Albions
- Feb 20, 2027Baglan Dragonsvsllanelli AFC
- Feb 20, 2027Treowen StarsvsCaerau (Ely)
- Feb 20, 2027Trethomas BluebirdsvsCarmarthen Town
- Feb 20, 2027Aberystwyth TownvsCaerphilly Athletic