Where and when is Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido played?

Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Windmill Ground, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 24Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Windmill Ground, Llantwit Major

Llantwit Major

Afan Lido

The Footlab model makes Llantwit Major the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Afan Lido. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Llantwit Major (1,485) and Afan Lido (1,498).

Llantwit Major win44 %

Draw23 %

Afan Lido win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llantwit Major have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Afan Lido have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Llantwit Major
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(away)	1-5	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Baglan Dragons(home)	0-1	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Afan Lido(away)	0-5	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Swansea University(home)	0-3	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Cambrian & Clydach(home)	1-3	FAW Championship

Afan Lido
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Pontardawe Town(home)	1-0	FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026	Carmarthen Town(away)	1-3	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Llantwit Major(home)	5-0	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(home)	2-5	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Cardiff Draconians(away)	1-4	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Llantwit Major win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Afan Lido win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 7, 2026	Afan Lido 5-0 Llantwit Major	FAW Championship
Mar 20, 2026	Afan Lido 4-1 Llantwit Major	FAW Championship
Nov 29, 2025	Llantwit Major 1-0 Afan Lido	FAW Championship
Jul 19, 2025	Llantwit Major 1-2 Afan Lido	League Cup
Nov 2, 2024	Llantwit Major 2-0 Afan Lido	FAW Championship
Aug 23, 2024	Afan Lido 1-3 Llantwit Major	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major on Aug 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Llantwit Major score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Llantwit Major	1.5	2.5	1	10/15	13/15
Afan Lido	1.7	1.7	5	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Llantwit Major sit 16th in FAW Championship (0 points from 4 matches) and Afan Lido sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Afan Lido	4	2	0	2	9	8	6
16	Llantwit Major	4	0	0	4	1	14	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido?: The Footlab model makes Llantwit Major the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Afan Lido.
Where and when is Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido played?: Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Windmill Ground, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.