Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 24Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Windmill Ground, Llantwit Major
The Footlab AI model makes Llantwit Major the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Afan Lido. The most likely score is 1-1. If Llantwit Major wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Llantwit Major (1,550) and Afan Lido (1,533).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Llantwit Major
Not enough data to predict the Llantwit Major lineup.
Afan Lido
Not enough data to predict the Afan Lido lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llantwit Major have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Afan Lido have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Trefelin(away) | 1-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 2-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 5-5 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Llantwit Major wins, 0 draws, 3 Afan Lido wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Afan Lido 5-0 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Afan Lido 4-1 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Llantwit Major 1-0 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Llantwit Major 1-2 Afan Lido | League Cup |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Llantwit Major 2-0 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Afan Lido 1-3 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Llantwit Major score 1.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llantwit Major | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Afan Lido | 1.7 | 2.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llantwit Major sit 15th in FAW Championship (8 points from 9 matches) and Afan Lido sit 10th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 12 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido?
- The Footlab AI model makes Llantwit Major the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Afan Lido.
- Where and when is Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido played?
- Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Windmill Ground, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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