Where and when is Carlton Town vs Shepshed Dynamo played?

Carlton Town vs Shepshed Dynamo is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bill Stokeld Stadium, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Carlton Town vs Shepshed Dynamo: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bill Stokeld Stadium, Nottingham, East Midlands

Carlton Town

Shepshed Dynamo

The Footlab model makes Carlton Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Shepshed Dynamo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Carlton Town vs Shepshed Dynamo?

Carlton Town starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,811 vs 1,687).

Carlton Town win52 %

Draw24 %

Shepshed Dynamo win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlton Town have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Shepshed Dynamo have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Carlton Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Coventry Sphinx(home)	4-1	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 18, 2026	Sutton Coldfield Town(away)	1-1	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 11, 2026	Bourne Town(away)	2-1	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 6, 2026	Basford United(home)	1-1	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 4, 2026	Lichfield City(away)	4-0	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands

Shepshed Dynamo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Lichfield City(home)	3-1	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 18, 2026	Wellingborough Town(away)	3-2	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 11, 2026	Basford United(away)	1-1	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 6, 2026	Loughborough University(home)	0-2	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 4, 2026	Racing Club Warwick(away)	1-1	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Carlton Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Shepshed Dynamo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 3, 2026	Shepshed Dynamo 0-1 Carlton Town	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Oct 14, 2025	Carlton Town 2-1 Shepshed Dynamo	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Aug 29, 2015	Carlton Town 1-2 Shepshed Dynamo	FA Cup

Last archived meeting: Shepshed Dynamo vs Carlton Town on Mar 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Carlton Town score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Shepshed Dynamo score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Carlton Town	2.0	1.3	4	8/15	10/15
Shepshed Dynamo	1.3	0.9	3	8/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Carlton Town vs Shepshed Dynamo?: The Footlab model makes Carlton Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Shepshed Dynamo.
Where and when is Carlton Town vs Shepshed Dynamo played?: Carlton Town vs Shepshed Dynamo is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bill Stokeld Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.