Where and when is Central Norte vs Defensores De Belgrano played?

Central Norte vs Defensores De Belgrano is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Dr. Luis Güemes, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Central Norte vs Defensores De Belgrano: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Dr. Luis Güemes, Salta, Provincia de Salta

Central Norte

Defensores De Belgrano

The Footlab model makes Central Norte the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for Defensores De Belgrano. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Central Norte vs Defensores De Belgrano?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Central Norte (1,696) and Defensores De Belgrano (1,708).

Central Norte win43 %

Draw32 %

Defensores De Belgrano win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central Norte have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Defensores De Belgrano have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Central Norte
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	CA Estudiantes(home)	2-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026	Gimnasia Y Tiro(home)	0-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 10, 2026	All Boys(away)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Los Andes(home)	1-0	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Godoy Cruz(away)	1-2	Primera Nacional

Defensores De Belgrano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Almirante Brown(home)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 14, 2026	Atletico DE Rafaela(away)	0-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Atletico Mitre(away)	1-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	CA Estudiantes(home)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	All Boys(away)	0-0	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Central Norte win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Defensores De Belgrano win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	Defensores De Belgrano 1-1 Central Norte	Primera Nacional
Sep 27, 2025	Defensores De Belgrano 2-0 Central Norte	Primera Nacional
May 25, 2025	Central Norte 2-1 Defensores De Belgrano	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Defensores De Belgrano vs Central Norte on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Central Norte score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Defensores De Belgrano score 0.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Central Norte	0.9	1.2	4	9/15	6/15
Defensores De Belgrano	0.5	1.0	5	5/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Central Norte sit 13th in Primera Nacional (27 points from 25 matches) and Defensores De Belgrano sit 15th (26 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Central Norte	25	6	9	10	17	25	27
15	Defensores De Belgrano	25	5	11	9	16	23	26

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Central Norte vs Defensores De Belgrano?: The Footlab model makes Central Norte the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for Defensores De Belgrano.
Where and when is Central Norte vs Defensores De Belgrano played?: Central Norte vs Defensores De Belgrano is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Dr. Luis Güemes, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.