Where and when is Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte played?

Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abel Sastre, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 31Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Abel Sastre, Puerto Madryn, Provincia de Chubut

Deportivo Madryn

Central Norte

The Footlab model makes Deportivo Madryn the favourite at 68%, against 22% for a draw and 10% for Central Norte. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte?

Deportivo Madryn starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,846 vs 1,696).

Deportivo Madryn win68 %

Draw22 %

Central Norte win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Madryn have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Central Norte have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Madryn
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Godoy Cruz(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 21, 2026	Atletico Mitre(home)	4-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026	San Martin Tucuman(away)	2-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026	CA Estudiantes(away)	1-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	All Boys(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional

Central Norte
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	CA Estudiantes(home)	2-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026	Gimnasia Y Tiro(home)	0-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 10, 2026	All Boys(away)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Los Andes(home)	1-0	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Godoy Cruz(away)	1-2	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Deportivo Madryn win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Central Norte win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Central Norte 2-3 Deportivo Madryn	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Central Norte vs Deportivo Madryn on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Madryn score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Central Norte score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Madryn	1.5	0.9	7	7/15	8/15
Central Norte	0.9	1.2	4	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Madryn sit 5th in Primera Nacional (40 points from 25 matches) and Central Norte sit 13th (27 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Deportivo Madryn	25	10	10	5	36	24	40
13	Central Norte	25	6	9	10	17	25	27

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte?: The Footlab model makes Deportivo Madryn the favourite at 68%, against 22% for a draw and 10% for Central Norte.
Where and when is Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte played?: Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abel Sastre, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.