Match

Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka

Cerezo OsakaGamba Osaka

The Footlab AI model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Cerezo Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gamba Osaka wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Cerezo Osaka (2,040) and Gamba Osaka (2,034).

37%26%37%
Cerezo Osaka winDrawGamba Osaka win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cerezo Osaka

3-4-2-1
  1. 19P. Sabbag
  1. 77Lucas Fernandes
  2. 10S. Tanaka
  3. 41Y. Komi
  4. 16H. Okuda
  5. 66A. Ohata
  6. 8S. Kagawa
  1. 97T. Takahashi
  2. 27Dion-Johan Cools
  3. 4R. Inoue
  1. 23Kosuke Nakamura

Gamba Osaka

4-2-3-1
  1. 11I. Jebali
  1. 17R. Yamashita
  2. 27R. Mito
  3. 13S. Abe
  4. 97Welton Felipe
  5. 7T. Usami
  1. 2S. Fukuoka
  2. 4S. Nakatani
  3. 15T. Kishimoto
  4. 21R. Hatsuse
  1. 22J. Ichimori

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:49 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerezo Osaka have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Gamba Osaka have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cerezo Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Kashima(away)1-4J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)3-1J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026JEF United Chiba(home)2-2J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Nagoya Grampus(away)1-1J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)2-4J1 League
Gamba Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Pohang Steelers(away)3-3AFC Champions League Elite
Nov 1, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)0-0J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Buriram United(home)1-1AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 24, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)2-2J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(away)2-1J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cerezo Osaka wins, 1 draw, 2 Gamba Osaka wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Gamba Osaka 0-1 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
Feb 7, 2026Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Jul 5, 2025Cerezo Osaka 0-1 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Feb 14, 2025Gamba Osaka 2-5 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
Oct 2, 2024Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
May 6, 2024Gamba Osaka 1-0 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cerezo Osaka score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gamba Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cerezo Osaka1.51.6410/158/15
Gamba Osaka1.91.729/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cerezo Osaka sit 12th in J1 League (14 points from 13 matches) and Gamba Osaka sit 16th (12 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Cerezo Osaka13355132314
16Gamba Osaka13265142112

A question about Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka?
The Footlab AI model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Cerezo Osaka.
Where and when is Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka played?
Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka is played on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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