Where and when is Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka played?

Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka is played on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

Gamba Osaka

The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Gamba Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Cerezo Osaka (2,019) and Gamba Osaka (2,024).

Cerezo Osaka win41 %

Draw26 %

Gamba Osaka win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerezo Osaka have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Gamba Osaka have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cerezo Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 29, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 15, 2026	Tochigi City(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

Gamba Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 11, 2026	Gangwon FC(away)	1-0	AFC Champions League Elite
Aug 7, 2026	Urawa(home)	4-3	J1 League
Jul 15, 2026	Red Bull Salzburg(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cerezo Osaka win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gamba Osaka win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Gamba Osaka 0-1 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League
Feb 7, 2026	Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Jul 5, 2025	Cerezo Osaka 0-1 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Feb 14, 2025	Gamba Osaka 2-5 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League
Oct 2, 2024	Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
May 6, 2024	Gamba Osaka 1-0 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cerezo Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gamba Osaka score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cerezo Osaka	1.9	1.1	5	9/15	9/15
Gamba Osaka	1.7	1.3	4	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cerezo Osaka sit 6th in J1 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Gamba Osaka sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Cerezo Osaka	3	2	0	1	3	4	6
10	Gamba Osaka	3	1	1	1	6	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka?: The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Gamba Osaka.
Where and when is Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka played?: Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka is played on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.