Where and when is Machida Zelvia vs JEF United Chiba played?

Machida Zelvia vs JEF United Chiba is played on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Machida Gion Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Machida Zelvia vs JEF United Chiba: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Machida Gion Stadium, Tokyo

Machida Zelvia

JEF United Chiba

The Footlab model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Machida Zelvia vs JEF United Chiba?

Machida Zelvia is a heavy favourite: 2,116 Elo points against 1,815, a 301-point gap.

Machida Zelvia win64 %

Draw22 %

JEF United Chiba win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Machida Zelvia have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; JEF United Chiba have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Machida Zelvia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Urawa(home)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	JEF United Chiba(away)	4-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	5-1	J1 League
Jul 18, 2026	Fujieda MYFC(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(home)	2-1	J1 League

JEF United Chiba
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	0-2	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	0-4	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(home)	1-2	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Machida Zelvia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 JEF United Chiba win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	JEF United Chiba 0-4 Machida Zelvia	J1 League
May 10, 2026	JEF United Chiba 0-2 Machida Zelvia	J1 League
Feb 27, 2026	Machida Zelvia 2-1 JEF United Chiba	J1 League
Jul 22, 2023	Machida Zelvia 1-3 JEF United Chiba	J2 League
Jun 3, 2023	JEF United Chiba 0-2 Machida Zelvia	J2 League
Aug 14, 2022	JEF United Chiba 1-2 Machida Zelvia	J2 League

Last archived meeting: JEF United Chiba vs Machida Zelvia on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Machida Zelvia score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Machida Zelvia	1.9	0.7	6	8/15	7/15
JEF United Chiba	0.8	2.0	2	6/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Machida Zelvia sit 1st in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and JEF United Chiba sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	3	3	0	0	12	2	9
20	JEF United Chiba	3	0	0	3	0	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Machida Zelvia vs JEF United Chiba?: The Footlab model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for JEF United Chiba.
Where and when is Machida Zelvia vs JEF United Chiba played?: Machida Zelvia vs JEF United Chiba is played on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Machida Gion Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.