Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima
The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,473 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock?
Kashima starts as the favourite with a 289-point Elo edge (2,165 vs 1,876).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kashima
4-4-2- 40Y. Suzuki
- 9Léo Ceará
- 27Y. Matsumura
- 6K. Misao
- 10G. Shibasaki
- 24H. Hayashu
- 55N. Ueda
- 23K. Tsukui
- 7R. Ogawa
- 3Kim Tae-Hyeon
- 1T. Hayakawa
Mito Hollyhock
4-4-2- 8C. Kato
- 30J. Okumura
- 22K. Taniguchi
- 38Leonardo Hugo
- 39H. Yamamoto
- 20Y. Funabashi
- 17K. Itakura
- 25T. Mase
- 15Y. Kimoto
- 3K. Osaki
- 27J. Słowik
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 07:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashima have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 2-3 | J1 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 2-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Công An Nhân Dân(away) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 2-0 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-6 | J1 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(away) | 0-2 | J1 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Urawa(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 1-0 | J-League Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(home) | 1-2 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Kashima wins, 2 draws, 1 Mito Hollyhock win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock 4-2 Kashima | J1 League |
| May 6, 2026 | Kashima 3-0 Mito Hollyhock | J1 League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock 1-1 Kashima | J1 League |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Kashima 1-0 Mito Hollyhock | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 14, 2015 | Kashima 0-0 Mito Hollyhock | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima on Sep 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kashima score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashima | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Mito Hollyhock | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kashima sit 8th in J1 League (20 points from 12 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 17th (9 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 20 |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 9 |
A question about Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Mito Hollyhock.
- Where and when is Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock played?
- Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock is played on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kashima Soccer Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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