Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima
The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock?
Kashima is a heavy favourite: 2,160 Elo points against 1,832, a 328-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashima have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(home) | 3-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 4-3 | J1 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Vegalta Sendai(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 2-0 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| May 30, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Kashima win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Mito Hollyhock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Kashima 3-0 Mito Hollyhock | J1 League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock 1-1 Kashima | J1 League |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Kashima 1-0 Mito Hollyhock | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 14, 2015 | Kashima 0-0 Mito Hollyhock | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kashima score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashima | 1.9 | 1.0 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Mito Hollyhock | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kashima sit 3rd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kashima | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Mito Hollyhock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock?
- The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Mito Hollyhock.
- Where and when is Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock played?
- Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock is played on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kashima Soccer Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027Kashiwa ReysolvsShimizu S-pulse
- Feb 13, 2027Sanfrecce HiroshimavsFagiano Okayama
- Feb 13, 2027V-varen NagasakivsAvispa Fukuoka
- Feb 13, 2027Nagoya GrampusvsFC Tokyo
- Feb 13, 2027Vissel KobevsKawasaki Frontale
- Feb 13, 2027Cerezo OsakavsGamba Osaka
- Feb 13, 2027Kyoto SangavsYokohama F. Marinos
- Feb 13, 2027Machida ZelviavsJEF United Chiba