Match

Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima

KashimaMito Hollyhock

The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock?

Kashima is a heavy favourite: 2,160 Elo points against 1,832, a 328-point gap.

Kashima win61 %
Draw23 %
Mito Hollyhock win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashima have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)3-2J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Nagoya Grampus(home)2-1J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)4-3J1 League
Jul 15, 2026Vegalta Sendai(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026Vissel Kobe(home)2-0J1 League
Mito Hollyhock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)3-1J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)1-1J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(away)1-2J1 League
Jun 6, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)0-1J1 League
May 30, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)0-1J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Kashima win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Mito Hollyhock win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 6, 2026Kashima 3-0 Mito HollyhockJ1 League
Apr 4, 2026Mito Hollyhock 1-1 KashimaJ1 League
Feb 10, 2024Kashima 1-0 Mito HollyhockFriendlies Clubs
Oct 14, 2015Kashima 0-0 Mito HollyhockEmperor Cup

Last archived meeting: Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock on May 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kashima score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kashima1.91.086/157/15
Mito Hollyhock1.11.8110/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashima sit 3rd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Kashima3300969
7Mito Hollyhock3111544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock?
The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Mito Hollyhock.
Where and when is Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock played?
Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock is played on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kashima Soccer Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Kashima and Mito Hollyhock

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