Match

Kashiwa Reysol vs Shimizu S-pulse: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa

Kashiwa ReysolShimizu S-pulse

The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Kashiwa Reysol starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,901).

Kashiwa Reysol win51 %
Draw26 %
Shimizu S-pulse win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Shimizu S-pulse have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashiwa Reysol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)4-2J1 League
Aug 14, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)3-1J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Mito Hollyhock(home)2-1J1 League
Aug 1, 2026JEF United Chiba(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)0-1J1 League
Shimizu S-pulse
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cerezo Osaka(away)0-1J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(home)0-1J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Nagoya Grampus(away)1-0J1 League
Jul 18, 2026Karlsruher SC(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)0-3J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kashiwa Reysol win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Shimizu S-pulse win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 28, 2025Shimizu S-pulse 0-2 Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
May 6, 2025Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League
Aug 20, 2022Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
May 29, 2022Kashiwa Reysol 3-1 Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League
Oct 16, 2021Shimizu S-pulse 0-1 Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
Mar 21, 2021Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol on Jun 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kashiwa Reysol score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Shimizu S-pulse score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kashiwa Reysol1.51.236/156/15
Shimizu S-pulse1.01.328/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Kashiwa Reysol3300949
15Shimizu S-pulse3102123

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs Shimizu S-pulse?
The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Shimizu S-pulse.
Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Shimizu S-pulse played?
Kashiwa Reysol vs Shimizu S-pulse is played on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kashiwa Reysol and Shimizu S-pulse

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