Kashiwa Reysol vs Shimizu S-pulse: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Kashiwa Reysol starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,901).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Shimizu S-pulse have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 4-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kashiwa Reysol win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Shimizu S-pulse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2025 | Shimizu S-pulse 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| May 6, 2025 | Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| May 29, 2022 | Kashiwa Reysol 3-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Shimizu S-pulse 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol on Jun 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kashiwa Reysol score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Shimizu S-pulse score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Shimizu S-pulse | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs Shimizu S-pulse?
- The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Shimizu S-pulse.
- Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Shimizu S-pulse played?
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Shimizu S-pulse is played on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027Sanfrecce HiroshimavsFagiano Okayama
- Feb 13, 2027V-varen NagasakivsAvispa Fukuoka
- Feb 13, 2027Nagoya GrampusvsFC Tokyo
- Feb 13, 2027Vissel KobevsKawasaki Frontale
- Feb 13, 2027KashimavsMito Hollyhock
- Feb 13, 2027Cerezo OsakavsGamba Osaka
- Feb 13, 2027Kyoto SangavsYokohama F. Marinos
- Feb 13, 2027Machida ZelviavsJEF United Chiba