Where and when is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama played?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama is played on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Fagiano Okayama

The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Fagiano Okayama. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (2,090 vs 1,938).

Sanfrecce Hiroshima win56 %

Draw24 %

Fagiano Okayama win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Fagiano Okayama have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Okinawa SV(home)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(home)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Urawa(away)	4-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	JEF United Chiba(home)	3-0	J1 League
Jul 28, 2026	Verspah Oita(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs

Fagiano Okayama
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Beluga Rosso Iwami(home)	3-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(home)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	FC Schalke 04(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fagiano Okayama win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	Fagiano Okayama 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima	J1 League
Feb 14, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 Fagiano Okayama	J1 League
Jul 5, 2025	Fagiano Okayama 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima	J1 League
Apr 12, 2025	Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 Fagiano Okayama	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fagiano Okayama score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2.3	1.1	5	9/15	10/15
Fagiano Okayama	1.4	1.0	7	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th in J1 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Fagiano Okayama sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3	2	1	0	8	2	7
9	Fagiano Okayama	3	1	1	1	2	2	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama?: The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Fagiano Okayama.
Where and when is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama played?: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama is played on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.