Where and when is V-varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka played?

V-varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka is played on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

V-varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki

V-varen Nagasaki

Avispa Fukuoka

The Footlab model makes V-varen Nagasaki the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Avispa Fukuoka. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate V-varen Nagasaki (1,910) and Avispa Fukuoka (1,926).

V-varen Nagasaki win38 %

Draw27 %

Avispa Fukuoka win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, V-varen Nagasaki have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Avispa Fukuoka have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

V-varen Nagasaki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Ehime FC(home)	3-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	2-4	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Utrecht(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs

Avispa Fukuoka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Verspah Oita(home)	0-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Kashima(away)	2-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(home)	3-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Vissel Kobe(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 19, 2026	Osaka(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 V-varen Nagasaki win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Avispa Fukuoka win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 V-varen Nagasaki	J1 League
Mar 15, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka	J1 League
Jul 13, 2022	Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 V-varen Nagasaki	Emperor Cup
Sep 27, 2020	V-varen Nagasaki 1-3 Avispa Fukuoka	J2 League
Jul 4, 2020	Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 V-varen Nagasaki	J2 League
Sep 7, 2019	V-varen Nagasaki 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

V-varen Nagasaki score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Avispa Fukuoka score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
V-varen Nagasaki	1.4	1.6	2	10/15	9/15
Avispa Fukuoka	1.4	1.3	2	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

V-varen Nagasaki sit 16th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Avispa Fukuoka sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Avispa Fukuoka	3	1	0	2	5	4	3
16	V-varen Nagasaki	3	1	0	2	4	6	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for V-varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka?: The Footlab model makes V-varen Nagasaki the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Avispa Fukuoka.
Where and when is V-varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka played?: V-varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka is played on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.