CF Benfica vs Viana Alentejo: prediction and stats
Taça de Portugal1/128-finalsKick-off on August 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Francisco Lázaro, Lisboa
The Footlab model makes CF Benfica the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Viana Alentejo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CF Benfica vs Viana Alentejo?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate CF Benfica (1,771) and Viana Alentejo (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, CF Benfica have 1 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Viana Alentejo have 1, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | Alcains(away) | 1-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Comércio Indústria(home) | 4-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2025 | Moncarapachense(away) | 0-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 8, 2024 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Cova De Piedade(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Quarteirense(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
CF Benfica score 2.5 and concede 3.5 goals per match over their last 2; Viana Alentejo score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Benfica | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| Viana Alentejo | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 2/4 | 4/4 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CF Benfica vs Viana Alentejo?
- The Footlab model makes CF Benfica the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Viana Alentejo.
- Where and when is CF Benfica vs Viana Alentejo played?
- CF Benfica vs Viana Alentejo is played on August 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Francisco Lázaro, in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.