Where and when is Chasetown vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds played?

Chasetown vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Scholars Ground, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chasetown vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Scholars Ground, Burntwood, Staffordshire

Chasetown

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

The Footlab model makes Chasetown the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for AFC Rushden & Diamonds. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chasetown vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Chasetown (1,702) and AFC Rushden & Diamonds (1,631).

Chasetown win51 %

Draw24 %

AFC Rushden & Diamonds win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chasetown have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; AFC Rushden & Diamonds have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chasetown
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 28, 2026	Boldmere St. Michaels(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Stalybridge Celtic(away)	0-1	Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 18, 2026	Congleton Town(home)	2-1	Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 11, 2026	Atherton Collieries(away)	1-2	Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 6, 2026	Stafford Rangers(home)	0-0	Non League Div One - Northern West

AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Lichfield City(away)	1-2	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 11, 2026	Rugby Borough(home)	1-1	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 3, 2026	Mickleover Sports(home)	0-0	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Mar 28, 2026	Bedworth United(away)	0-2	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Mar 21, 2026	Loughborough University(away)	0-3	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands

How many goals should we expect?

Chasetown score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Rushden & Diamonds score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chasetown	0.9	1.3	3	7/15	6/15
AFC Rushden & Diamonds	1.3	1.4	3	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chasetown vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?: The Footlab model makes Chasetown the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for AFC Rushden & Diamonds.
Where and when is Chasetown vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds played?: Chasetown vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Scholars Ground, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.