Where and when is Chavdar Etropole vs FK Minyor Pernik played?

Chavdar Etropole vs FK Minyor Pernik is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chavdar, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chavdar Etropole vs FK Minyor Pernik: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chavdar, Etropole

Chavdar Etropole

FK Minyor Pernik

The Footlab model makes Chavdar Etropole the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for FK Minyor Pernik. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chavdar Etropole vs FK Minyor Pernik?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Chavdar Etropole (1,600) and FK Minyor Pernik (1,517).

Chavdar Etropole win58 %

Draw23 %

FK Minyor Pernik win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chavdar Etropole have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; FK Minyor Pernik have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chavdar Etropole
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(home)	4-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Strumska Slava(away)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Oborishte(home)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Bansko(away)	0-3	Third League - Southwest
Feb 17, 2024	CSKA Sofia II(away)	0-3	Third League - Southwest

FK Minyor Pernik
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bansko(home)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Belasitsa(home)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Pirin Razlog(away)	3-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Natsional Sofia(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
May 23, 2026	Dunav Ruse(home)	1-2	Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Chavdar Etropole win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FK Minyor Pernik win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 16, 2023	Chavdar Etropole 0-1 FK Minyor Pernik	Third League - Southwest
Aug 31, 2019	Chavdar Etropole 1-1 FK Minyor Pernik	Third League - Southwest
Mar 2, 2019	Chavdar Etropole 0-1 FK Minyor Pernik	Third League - Southwest
Aug 18, 2018	FK Minyor Pernik 3-1 Chavdar Etropole	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Chavdar Etropole vs FK Minyor Pernik on Sep 16, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Chavdar Etropole score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FK Minyor Pernik score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chavdar Etropole	2.2	1.1	6	7/15	10/15
FK Minyor Pernik	1.3	1.5	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chavdar Etropole sit 14th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and FK Minyor Pernik sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	FK Minyor Pernik	4	2	1	1	6	3	7
14	Chavdar Etropole	4	1	1	2	6	8	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chavdar Etropole vs FK Minyor Pernik?: The Footlab model makes Chavdar Etropole the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for FK Minyor Pernik.
Where and when is Chavdar Etropole vs FK Minyor Pernik played?: Chavdar Etropole vs FK Minyor Pernik is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chavdar, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.