Where and when is Balkan Botevgrad vs Oborishte played?

Balkan Botevgrad vs Oborishte is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Hristo Botev Izkustven Teren, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Balkan Botevgrad vs Oborishte: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Hristo Botev Izkustven Teren, Botevgrad

Balkan Botevgrad

Oborishte

The Footlab model makes Balkan Botevgrad the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Oborishte. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Balkan Botevgrad vs Oborishte?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Balkan Botevgrad (1,484) and Oborishte (1,530).

Balkan Botevgrad win42 %

Draw27 %

Oborishte win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balkan Botevgrad have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Oborishte have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Balkan Botevgrad
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Botev Ihtiman(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Kyustendil(away)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(home)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Strumska Slava(away)	0-2	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Bansko(away)	2-0	Third League - Southwest

Oborishte
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pirin Razlog(away)	4-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Natsional Sofia(home)	3-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(away)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(home)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Germaneya(home)	5-1	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Balkan Botevgrad win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Oborishte win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 28, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad 2-1 Oborishte	Third League - Southwest
Aug 23, 2025	Oborishte 1-0 Balkan Botevgrad	Third League - Southwest
Mar 15, 2025	Oborishte 0-0 Balkan Botevgrad	Third League - Southwest
Aug 24, 2024	Balkan Botevgrad 1-3 Oborishte	Third League - Southwest
Mar 30, 2024	Oborishte 1-1 Balkan Botevgrad	Third League - Southwest
Sep 9, 2023	Balkan Botevgrad 3-1 Oborishte	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Balkan Botevgrad vs Oborishte on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Balkan Botevgrad score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Oborishte score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Balkan Botevgrad	1.3	1.1	7	6/15	5/15
Oborishte	1.6	1.1	3	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Balkan Botevgrad sit 11th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Oborishte sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Oborishte	4	2	2	0	9	5	8
11	Balkan Botevgrad	4	2	0	2	3	4	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Balkan Botevgrad vs Oborishte?: The Footlab model makes Balkan Botevgrad the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Oborishte.
Where and when is Balkan Botevgrad vs Oborishte played?: Balkan Botevgrad vs Oborishte is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Hristo Botev Izkustven Teren, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.