Balkan Botevgrad vs Oborishte: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Hristo Botev Izkustven Teren, Botevgrad
The Footlab AI model makes Oborishte the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Balkan Botevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oborishte wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balkan Botevgrad vs Oborishte?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Balkan Botevgrad (1,440) and Oborishte (1,517).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Balkan Botevgrad vs Oborishte
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Balkan Botevgrad
4-3-3- NN. Mikov
- KK. Bonev
- DD. Ganchev
- EE. Kolev
- PPavel Georgiev Petkov
- AAleksandar Asenov
- ZZ. Atanasov
- DD. Yordanov
- DD. Ruychev
- LL. Karanikolov
- VV. Valchev
Oborishte
4-3-3- PP. Petkov
- GGeorgi Netov
- GG. Anev
- MM. Sandov
- DDimitar Pantaleev
- MM. Valchinov
- SS. Georgiev
- SS. Stefanov
- AA. Hristov
- II. Velikov
- MM. Matev
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balkan Botevgrad have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Oborishte have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 10, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fratria(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kostinbrod(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Kyustendil(home) | 2-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 3-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Balkan Botevgrad wins, 2 draws, 2 Oborishte wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad 2-1 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Oborishte 1-0 Balkan Botevgrad | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Oborishte 0-0 Balkan Botevgrad | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Balkan Botevgrad 1-3 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Oborishte 1-1 Balkan Botevgrad | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Balkan Botevgrad 3-1 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Balkan Botevgrad vs Oborishte on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Balkan Botevgrad score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Oborishte score 2.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balkan Botevgrad | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Oborishte | 2.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Balkan Botevgrad sit 6th in Third League - Southwest (19 points from 12 matches) and Oborishte sit 2nd (22 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Oborishte | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 10 | 22 |
| 6 | Balkan Botevgrad | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 19 |
A question about Balkan Botevgrad vs Oborishte?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balkan Botevgrad vs Oborishte?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oborishte the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Balkan Botevgrad.
- Where and when is Balkan Botevgrad vs Oborishte played?
- Balkan Botevgrad vs Oborishte is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Hristo Botev Izkustven Teren, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsFK Minyor Pernik
- Nov 14, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Nov 14, 2026KostinbrodvsStrumska Slava
- Nov 14, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsKyustendil
- Nov 14, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsBotev Ihtiman
- Nov 14, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsBelasitsa
- Nov 14, 2026Natsional SofiavsPirin Razlog
- Nov 14, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsBansko