Septemvri Sofia II vs Kyustendil: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion German, German
The Footlab model makes Septemvri Sofia II the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Kyustendil. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia II vs Kyustendil?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Septemvri Sofia II (1,510) and Kyustendil (1,450).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Sofia II have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Kyustendil have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kostinbrod(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Septemvri Sofia II win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Kyustendil win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Kyustendil 0-0 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia II 0-0 Kyustendil | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Kyustendil 1-1 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Septemvri Sofia II 1-2 Kyustendil | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Kyustendil 2-1 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Septemvri Sofia II 1-0 Kyustendil | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Kyustendil vs Septemvri Sofia II on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Septemvri Sofia II score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kyustendil score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia II | 1.8 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Kyustendil | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Septemvri Sofia II sit 7th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Kyustendil sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Septemvri Sofia II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 15 | Kyustendil | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Septemvri Sofia II vs Kyustendil?
- The Footlab model makes Septemvri Sofia II the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Kyustendil.
- Where and when is Septemvri Sofia II vs Kyustendil played?
- Septemvri Sofia II vs Kyustendil is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion German, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsOborishte
- Nov 14, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsFK Minyor Pernik
- Nov 14, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Nov 14, 2026KostinbrodvsStrumska Slava
- Nov 14, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsBotev Ihtiman
- Nov 14, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsBelasitsa
- Nov 14, 2026Natsional SofiavsPirin Razlog
- Nov 14, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsBansko