Where and when is Slivnishki geroy vs Septemvri Simitli played?

Slivnishki geroy vs Septemvri Simitli is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Slivnishki geroy vs Septemvri Simitli: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Slivnitsa

Slivnishki geroy

Septemvri Simitli

The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Septemvri Simitli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Slivnishki geroy vs Septemvri Simitli?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Slivnishki geroy (1,420) and Septemvri Simitli (1,489).

Slivnishki geroy win43 %

Draw28 %

Septemvri Simitli win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slivnishki geroy have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Septemvri Simitli have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Slivnishki geroy
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Levski Sofia II(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Slavia Sofia II(away)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Botev Ihtiman(home)	2-3	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Kyustendil(away)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Slavia Sofia II(home)	0-3	Third League - Southwest

Septemvri Simitli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(away)	2-4	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(home)	0-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(away)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Kostinbrod(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Kyustendil(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Slivnishki geroy win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Septemvri Simitli win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 29, 2025	Septemvri Simitli 2-1 Slivnishki geroy	Third League - Southwest
Aug 9, 2025	Slivnishki geroy 0-0 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Mar 15, 2025	Slivnishki geroy 0-1 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Aug 24, 2024	Septemvri Simitli 1-3 Slivnishki geroy	Third League - Southwest
Feb 24, 2024	Septemvri Simitli 1-1 Slivnishki geroy	Third League - Southwest
Aug 12, 2023	Slivnishki geroy 2-1 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Septemvri Simitli vs Slivnishki geroy on Nov 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Slivnishki geroy score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Simitli score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Slivnishki geroy	1.5	1.2	5	8/15	10/15
Septemvri Simitli	1.4	0.9	7	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Slivnishki geroy sit 8th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Septemvri Simitli sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Septemvri Simitli	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
8	Slivnishki geroy	4	2	0	2	6	6	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Slivnishki geroy vs Septemvri Simitli?: The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Septemvri Simitli.
Where and when is Slivnishki geroy vs Septemvri Simitli played?: Slivnishki geroy vs Septemvri Simitli is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.