Natsional Sofia vs Pirin Razlog: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Natsional Sofia the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 1-1. If Natsional Sofia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Natsional Sofia vs Pirin Razlog?
On Elo ratings, Natsional Sofia has 1,396 points and Pirin Razlog 1,325.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Natsional Sofia vs Pirin Razlog
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Natsional Sofia
Not enough data to predict the Natsional Sofia lineup.
Pirin Razlog
Not enough data to predict the Pirin Razlog lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Natsional Sofia have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Pirin Razlog have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(away) | 0-5 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kyustendil(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Natsional Sofia score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Razlog score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natsional Sofia | 2.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Pirin Razlog | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Natsional Sofia sit 17th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 11 matches) and Pirin Razlog sit 18th (7 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 7 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 7 |
A question about Natsional Sofia vs Pirin Razlog?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Natsional Sofia vs Pirin Razlog?
- The Footlab AI model makes Natsional Sofia the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Pirin Razlog.
- Where and when is Natsional Sofia vs Pirin Razlog played?
- Natsional Sofia vs Pirin Razlog is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsOborishte
- Nov 14, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsFK Minyor Pernik
- Nov 14, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Nov 14, 2026KostinbrodvsStrumska Slava
- Nov 14, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsKyustendil
- Nov 14, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsBotev Ihtiman
- Nov 14, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsBelasitsa
- Nov 14, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsBansko