Match

Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Kostinbrod

KostinbrodStrumska Slava

The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Kostinbrod. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava?

Strumska Slava starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,563 vs 1,437).

Kostinbrod win36 %
Draw27 %
Strumska Slava win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kostinbrod have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Strumska Slava have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kostinbrod
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Slavia Sofia II(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Botev Ihtiman(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Kyustendil(home)3-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Septemvri Simitli(away)0-2Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026CSKA Sofia III(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Strumska Slava
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Natsional Sofia(away)3-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Chavdar Etropole(home)2-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026CSKA Sofia III(away)0-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(home)2-0Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Pirin Razlog(away)1-2Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kostinbrod win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Strumska Slava win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Strumska Slava 1-2 KostinbrodThird League - Southwest
Sep 6, 2025Kostinbrod 1-2 Strumska SlavaThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Strumska Slava vs Kostinbrod on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kostinbrod score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Strumska Slava score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kostinbrod0.91.345/156/15
Strumska Slava1.61.149/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kostinbrod sit 10th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Strumska Slava sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Strumska Slava43107110
10Kostinbrod4202446

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava?
The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Kostinbrod.
Where and when is Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava played?
Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kostinbrod and Strumska Slava

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