Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Kostinbrod
The Footlab AI model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Strumska Slava. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kostinbrod wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Kostinbrod (1,430) and Strumska Slava (1,510).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kostinbrod
Not enough data to predict the Kostinbrod lineup.
Strumska Slava
4-3-3- AA. Asparuhov
- EE. Okudina
- DD. Vladimirov
- NN. Bandev
- LL. Stoychev
- VV. Dotsev
- DD. Mitsakov
- PP. Kepov
- MM. Kostov
- BB. Nikolov
- MM. Stanchev
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kostinbrod have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Strumska Slava have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 5-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Oborishte(away) | 2-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bansko(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(away) | 2-5 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kostinbrod win, 0 draws, 1 Strumska Slava win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Strumska Slava 1-2 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Kostinbrod 1-2 Strumska Slava | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Strumska Slava vs Kostinbrod on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kostinbrod score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Strumska Slava score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kostinbrod | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Strumska Slava | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kostinbrod sit 7th in Third League - Southwest (18 points from 11 matches) and Strumska Slava sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Strumska Slava | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 19 |
| 7 | Kostinbrod | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 10 | 18 |
A question about Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Strumska Slava.
- Where and when is Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava played?
- Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsOborishte
- Nov 14, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsFK Minyor Pernik
- Nov 14, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Nov 14, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsKyustendil
- Nov 14, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsBotev Ihtiman
- Nov 14, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsBelasitsa
- Nov 14, 2026Natsional SofiavsPirin Razlog
- Nov 14, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsBansko