Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Kostinbrod
The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Kostinbrod. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava?
Strumska Slava starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,563 vs 1,437).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kostinbrod have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Strumska Slava have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kyustendil(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kostinbrod win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Strumska Slava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Strumska Slava 1-2 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Kostinbrod 1-2 Strumska Slava | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Strumska Slava vs Kostinbrod on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kostinbrod score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Strumska Slava score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kostinbrod | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Strumska Slava | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kostinbrod sit 10th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Strumska Slava sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Kostinbrod | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava?
- The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Kostinbrod.
- Where and when is Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava played?
- Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsOborishte
- Nov 14, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsFK Minyor Pernik
- Nov 14, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Nov 14, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsKyustendil
- Nov 14, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsBotev Ihtiman
- Nov 14, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsBelasitsa
- Nov 14, 2026Natsional SofiavsPirin Razlog
- Nov 14, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsBansko