Slavia Sofia II vs Belasitsa: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Slavija pomoshten teren, Sofia
The Footlab model makes Slavia Sofia II the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Belasitsa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slavia Sofia II vs Belasitsa?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Slavia Sofia II (1,481) and Belasitsa (1,483).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slavia Sofia II have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Belasitsa have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kostinbrod(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 4-5 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Belasica(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Slavia Sofia II score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Belasitsa score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Sofia II | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Belasitsa | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slavia Sofia II sit 16th in Third League - Southwest (3 points from 4 matches) and Belasitsa sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Belasitsa | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 16 | Slavia Sofia II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slavia Sofia II vs Belasitsa?
- The Footlab model makes Slavia Sofia II the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Belasitsa.
- Where and when is Slavia Sofia II vs Belasitsa played?
- Slavia Sofia II vs Belasitsa is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Slavija pomoshten teren, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsOborishte
- Nov 14, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsFK Minyor Pernik
- Nov 14, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Nov 14, 2026KostinbrodvsStrumska Slava
- Nov 14, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsKyustendil
- Nov 14, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsBotev Ihtiman
- Nov 14, 2026Natsional SofiavsPirin Razlog
- Nov 14, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsBansko