Match

Unia Swarzędz vs Kluczevia Stargard: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Swarzędz

Unia SwarzędzKluczevia Stargard

The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Unia Swarzędz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Swarzędz vs Kluczevia Stargard?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Unia Swarzędz (1,763) and Kluczevia Stargard (1,773).

Unia Swarzędz win29 %
Draw23 %
Kluczevia Stargard win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Swarzędz have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Kluczevia Stargard have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Swarzędz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wda Świecie(home)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Elana Toruń(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Noteć Czarnków(home)0-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Kalisz(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Kluczevia Stargard
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(away)4-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Gedania Gdansk(home)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Lipno Stęszew(away)4-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(home)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)3-3III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Unia Swarzędz win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kluczevia Stargard win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 22, 2025Unia Swarzędz 0-2 Kluczevia StargardIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 2, 2025Kluczevia Stargard 2-2 Unia SwarzędzIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Unia Swarzędz vs Kluczevia Stargard on Nov 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Unia Swarzędz1.91.748/1511/15
Kluczevia Stargard2.11.7212/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Swarzędz sit 11th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Kluczevia Stargard5320151011
11Unia Swarzędz5203696

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Swarzędz vs Kluczevia Stargard?
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Unia Swarzędz.
Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Kluczevia Stargard played?
Unia Swarzędz vs Kluczevia Stargard is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Unia Swarzędz and Kluczevia Stargard

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