Unia Swarzędz vs Kluczevia Stargard: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Swarzędz
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Unia Swarzędz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unia Swarzędz vs Kluczevia Stargard?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Unia Swarzędz (1,763) and Kluczevia Stargard (1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Swarzędz have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Kluczevia Stargard have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wda Świecie(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kalisz(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Unia Swarzędz win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kluczevia Stargard win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Unia Swarzędz 0-2 Kluczevia Stargard | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Kluczevia Stargard 2-2 Unia Swarzędz | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Unia Swarzędz vs Kluczevia Stargard on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unia Swarzędz | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Kluczevia Stargard | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unia Swarzędz sit 11th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
| 11 | Unia Swarzędz | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unia Swarzędz vs Kluczevia Stargard?
- The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Unia Swarzędz.
- Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Kluczevia Stargard played?
- Unia Swarzędz vs Kluczevia Stargard is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Chemik BydgoszczvsKotwica Kórnik
- Mar 20, 2027Elana ToruńvsKalisz
- Mar 20, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsFlota Świnoujście
- Mar 20, 2027Gedania GdanskvsPolonia Środa
- Mar 20, 2027Victoria WrześniavsBałtyk Koszalin
- Mar 20, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsWda Świecie
- Mar 20, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsLech Poznań II
- Mar 20, 2027Lipno StęszewvsLuzino