Match

Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Stargard Szczeciński

Stargard SzczecińskiFlota Świnoujście

The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Flota Świnoujście. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Stargard Szczeciński (1,779) and Flota Świnoujście (1,722).

Stargard Szczeciński win46 %
Draw24 %
Flota Świnoujście win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stargard Szczeciński have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Flota Świnoujście have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stargard Szczeciński
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Luzino(home)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Polonia Środa(away)1-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Lech Poznań II(home)4-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Wda Świecie(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Flota Świnoujście
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Victoria Września(home)5-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(away)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(home)2-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Kalisz(home)0-1III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Stargard Szczeciński win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Flota Świnoujście win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Stargard Szczeciński 3-0 Flota ŚwinoujścieIII Liga - Group 2
Nov 15, 2025Flota Świnoujście 1-1 Stargard SzczecińskiIII Liga - Group 2
May 21, 2025Flota Świnoujście 2-3 Stargard SzczecińskiIII Liga - Group 2
Jan 18, 2025Stargard Szczeciński 2-0 Flota ŚwinoujścieFriendlies Clubs
Oct 26, 2024Stargard Szczeciński 1-1 Flota ŚwinoujścieIII Liga - Group 2
Mar 9, 2024Stargard Szczeciński 3-1 Flota ŚwinoujścieIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stargard Szczeciński1.71.5510/1510/15
Flota Świnoujście1.31.347/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th in III Liga - Group 2 (7 points from 5 matches) and Flota Świnoujście sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Flota Świnoujście531110310
9Stargard Szczeciński52129107

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście?
The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Flota Świnoujście.
Where and when is Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście played?
Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Stargard Szczeciński and Flota Świnoujście

Ready to know everything about football?