Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Stargard Szczeciński
The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Flota Świnoujście. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Stargard Szczeciński (1,779) and Flota Świnoujście (1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stargard Szczeciński have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Flota Świnoujście have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Środa(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wda Świecie(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Victoria Września(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Stargard Szczeciński win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Flota Świnoujście win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński 3-0 Flota Świnoujście | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Flota Świnoujście 1-1 Stargard Szczeciński | III Liga - Group 2 |
| May 21, 2025 | Flota Świnoujście 2-3 Stargard Szczeciński | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Stargard Szczeciński 2-0 Flota Świnoujście | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Stargard Szczeciński 1-1 Flota Świnoujście | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Stargard Szczeciński 3-1 Flota Świnoujście | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stargard Szczeciński | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Flota Świnoujście | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th in III Liga - Group 2 (7 points from 5 matches) and Flota Świnoujście sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Flota Świnoujście | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Stargard Szczeciński | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście?
- The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Flota Świnoujście.
- Where and when is Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście played?
- Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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