Match

Chrobry Głogów vs Stal Mielec: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion GOS, Głogów

Chrobry GłogówStal Mielec

The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Stal Mielec. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chrobry Głogów vs Stal Mielec?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Chrobry Głogów (1,855) and Stal Mielec (1,821).

Chrobry Głogów win49 %
Draw25 %
Stal Mielec win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chrobry Głogów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Stal Mielec have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chrobry Głogów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Warta Poznań(home)0-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Podbeskidzie(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 9, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)2-1I Liga
Aug 3, 2026Odra Opole(home)0-1I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Stal Rzeszów(away)5-1I Liga
Stal Mielec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)0-4I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Polonia Bytom(home)5-2I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Stal Rzeszów(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 2, 2026Podbeskidzie(home)3-3I Liga
Jul 26, 2026Unia Skierniewice(away)2-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chrobry Głogów win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Stal Mielec win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 17, 2026Chrobry Głogów 2-1 Stal MielecI Liga
Oct 3, 2025Stal Mielec 1-2 Chrobry GłogówI Liga
Jul 14, 2020Stal Mielec 1-0 Chrobry GłogówI Liga
Oct 27, 2019Chrobry Głogów 1-0 Stal MielecI Liga
Apr 28, 2019Stal Mielec 5-1 Chrobry GłogówI Liga
Oct 13, 2018Chrobry Głogów 0-0 Stal MielecI Liga

Last archived meeting: Chrobry Głogów vs Stal Mielec on Apr 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Mielec score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chrobry Głogów1.51.6012/1510/15
Stal Mielec2.11.9013/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chrobry Głogów sit 8th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Stal Mielec sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Stal Mielec522111118
8Chrobry Głogów5212857

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chrobry Głogów vs Stal Mielec?
The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Stal Mielec.
Where and when is Chrobry Głogów vs Stal Mielec played?
Chrobry Głogów vs Stal Mielec is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion GOS, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chrobry Głogów and Stal Mielec

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