Chrobry Głogów vs Stal Mielec: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion GOS, Głogów
The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Stal Mielec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chrobry Głogów vs Stal Mielec?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Chrobry Głogów (1,855) and Stal Mielec (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chrobry Głogów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Stal Mielec have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 5-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 0-4 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(home) | 5-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 3-3 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chrobry Głogów win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Stal Mielec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów 2-1 Stal Mielec | I Liga |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Stal Mielec 1-2 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Jul 14, 2020 | Stal Mielec 1-0 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Oct 27, 2019 | Chrobry Głogów 1-0 Stal Mielec | I Liga |
| Apr 28, 2019 | Stal Mielec 5-1 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Oct 13, 2018 | Chrobry Głogów 0-0 Stal Mielec | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Chrobry Głogów vs Stal Mielec on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Mielec score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chrobry Głogów | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Stal Mielec | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chrobry Głogów sit 8th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Stal Mielec sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stal Mielec | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 8 |
| 8 | Chrobry Głogów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chrobry Głogów vs Stal Mielec?
- The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Stal Mielec.
- Where and when is Chrobry Głogów vs Stal Mielec played?
- Chrobry Głogów vs Stal Mielec is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion GOS, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Miedz LegnicavsPolonia Warszawa
- Apr 24, 2027Lechia GdanskvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Apr 24, 2027NiecieczavsArka Gdynia
- Apr 24, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsWarta Poznań
- Apr 24, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsOdra Opole
- Apr 24, 2027Stal RzeszówvsPodbeskidzie
- Apr 24, 2027Polonia BytomvsUnia Skierniewice
- Apr 24, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsRuch Chorzów