Where and when is Stal Mielec vs Miedz Legnica played?

Stal Mielec vs Miedz Legnica is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stal Mielec vs Miedz Legnica: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, Mielec

Stal Mielec

Miedz Legnica

The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Stal Mielec. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Mielec vs Miedz Legnica?

A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Stal Mielec (1,821) and Miedz Legnica (1,898).

Stal Mielec win36 %

Draw25 %

Miedz Legnica win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Mielec have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Miedz Legnica have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Mielec
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	0-4	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Polonia Bytom(home)	5-2	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Podbeskidzie(home)	3-3	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(away)	2-1	I Liga

Miedz Legnica
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Arka Gdynia(home)	2-0	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(away)	3-0	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(away)	2-0	I Liga
Jul 27, 2026	Podbeskidzie(home)	1-1	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stal Mielec win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Miedz Legnica win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	Miedz Legnica 1-0 Stal Mielec	I Liga
Oct 26, 2025	Stal Mielec 1-2 Miedz Legnica	I Liga
Apr 17, 2023	Stal Mielec 1-1 Miedz Legnica	Ekstraklasa
Oct 2, 2022	Miedz Legnica 0-2 Stal Mielec	Ekstraklasa
Jun 2, 2020	Miedz Legnica 1-2 Stal Mielec	I Liga
Aug 26, 2019	Stal Mielec 1-0 Miedz Legnica	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Mielec score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stal Mielec	2.1	1.9	0	13/15	12/15
Miedz Legnica	1.3	1.1	6	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Mielec sit 7th in I Liga (8 points from 5 matches) and Miedz Legnica sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Miedz Legnica	5	3	1	1	8	2	10
7	Stal Mielec	5	2	2	1	11	11	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Mielec vs Miedz Legnica?: The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Stal Mielec.
Where and when is Stal Mielec vs Miedz Legnica played?: Stal Mielec vs Miedz Legnica is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.