Match

Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk: prediction and stats

I LigaMatchday 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gdynia

Arka GdyniaLechia Gdansk

The Footlab AI model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Lechia Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arka Gdynia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,194 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Arka Gdynia (1,860) and Lechia Gdansk (1,865).

48%25%27%
Arka Gdynia winDrawLechia Gdansk win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arka Gdynia

4-3-3
  1. 9V. Gutkovskis
  2. 17N. Dzięgielewski
  3. 71J. Kowalski
  1. 28M. Ambrosiewicz
  2. 16Kuba Solecki
  3. 11D. Kocyła
  1. 94D. Gojny
  2. 4M. Komenda
  3. 6K. Lipkowski
  4. 3S. Szota
  1. 33J. Grobelny

Lechia Gdansk

4-3-3
  1. 7K. Dodaj
  2. 97Vladislav Blănuță
  3. 30J. Mena
  1. 13A. Shakh
  2. 33T. Wójtowicz
  3. 6H. Ivanov
  1. 3D. Malov
  2. 4K. Łopata
  3. 19S. Kopásek
  4. 21D. Beskorovaynyi
  1. 1A. Holewiński

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 03:05 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arka Gdynia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Lechia Gdansk have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arka Gdynia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Podbeskidzie(home)3-1I Liga
Nov 3, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)0-0I Liga
Oct 29, 2026Stal Rzeszów(home)1-2Cup
Oct 24, 2026Nieciecza(home)3-1I Liga
Oct 18, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)1-2I Liga
Lechia Gdansk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 13, 2026Raków Częstochowa(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Nov 8, 2026Polonia Bytom(away)0-1I Liga
Oct 31, 2026Unia Skierniewice(home)3-2I Liga
Oct 28, 2026Jagiellonia(home)0-6Cup
Oct 24, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(away)1-2I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arka Gdynia win, 1 draw, 4 Lechia Gdansk wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Lechia Gdansk 2-1 Arka GdyniaI Liga
Feb 27, 2026Arka Gdynia 2-2 Lechia GdanskEkstraklasa
Aug 24, 2025Lechia Gdansk 1-0 Arka GdyniaEkstraklasa
May 19, 2024Lechia Gdansk 2-1 Arka GdyniaI Liga
Nov 24, 2023Arka Gdynia 1-0 Lechia GdanskI Liga
May 31, 2020Lechia Gdansk 4-3 Arka GdyniaEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Lechia Gdansk vs Arka Gdynia on Oct 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arka Gdynia score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Gdansk score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arka Gdynia1.51.439/1510/15
Lechia Gdansk1.91.5210/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arka Gdynia sit 12th in I Liga (18 points from 14 matches) and Lechia Gdansk sit 4th (22 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Lechia Gdansk14716252222
12Arka Gdynia14536191718

A question about Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk?
The Footlab AI model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Lechia Gdansk.
Where and when is Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk played?
Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arka Gdynia and Lechia Gdansk