Odra Opole vs Ruch Chorzów: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Itaka Arena, Opole
The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Odra Opole. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Odra Opole vs Ruch Chorzów?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Odra Opole (1,803) and Ruch Chorzów (1,862).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odra Opole have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ruch Chorzów have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Odra Opole win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Ruch Chorzów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów 2-0 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów 2-2 Odra Opole | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Odra Opole 1-1 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Ruch Chorzów 1-0 Odra Opole | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Ruch Chorzów 6-0 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Jul 19, 2024 | Odra Opole 0-2 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Ruch Chorzów vs Odra Opole on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Odra Opole score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odra Opole | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ruch Chorzów | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Odra Opole sit 9th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Ruch Chorzów sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Odra Opole | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Ruch Chorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Odra Opole vs Ruch Chorzów?
- The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Odra Opole.
- Where and when is Odra Opole vs Ruch Chorzów played?
- Odra Opole vs Ruch Chorzów is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Itaka Arena, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Arka GdyniavsLechia Gdansk
- Apr 17, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsPolonia Bytom
- Apr 17, 2027PodbeskidzievsŁKS Łódź
- Apr 17, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsNieciecza
- Apr 17, 2027Stal MielecvsMiedz Legnica
- Apr 17, 2027Stal RzeszówvsPogoń Siedlce
- Apr 17, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsWarta Poznań
- Apr 17, 2027Polonia WarszawavsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki