Match

Polonia Bytom vs Unia Skierniewice: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii Bytom, Bytom

Polonia BytomUnia Skierniewice

The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Polonia Bytom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Unia Skierniewice?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Polonia Bytom (1,842) and Unia Skierniewice (1,912).

Polonia Bytom win35 %
Draw26 %
Unia Skierniewice win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Bytom have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Unia Skierniewice have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Bytom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)2-2I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Stal Mielec(away)2-5I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(home)2-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)1-2I Liga
Jul 24, 2026Warta Poznań(home)4-3I Liga
Unia Skierniewice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Miedz Legnica(home)0-3I Liga
Aug 10, 2026Arka Gdynia(home)2-0I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Sokół Kleczew(home)2-2Cup
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Warszawa(away)1-3I Liga

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Polonia Bytom2.12.3213/1513/15
Unia Skierniewice1.71.358/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Bytom sit 15th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Unia Skierniewice sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Unia Skierniewice5203586
15Polonia Bytom512211145

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Bytom vs Unia Skierniewice?
The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Polonia Bytom.
Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Unia Skierniewice played?
Polonia Bytom vs Unia Skierniewice is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Polonia Bytom and Unia Skierniewice

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