Lechia Gdansk vs Odra Opole: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, Gdańsk
The Footlab model makes Lechia Gdansk the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Odra Opole. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lechia Gdansk vs Odra Opole?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Lechia Gdansk (1,850) and Odra Opole (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia Gdansk have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Odra Opole have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lechia Gdansk win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Odra Opole win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | Lechia Gdansk 2-1 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Odra Opole 0-0 Lechia Gdansk | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Lechia Gdansk vs Odra Opole on Apr 2, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Odra Opole score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia Gdansk | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Odra Opole | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lechia Gdansk sit 16th in I Liga (4 points from 5 matches) and Odra Opole sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Odra Opole | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lechia Gdansk vs Odra Opole?
- The Footlab model makes Lechia Gdansk the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Odra Opole.
- Where and when is Lechia Gdansk vs Odra Opole played?
- Lechia Gdansk vs Odra Opole is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Miedz LegnicavsŁKS Łódź
- Nov 21, 2026Chrobry GłogówvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Nov 21, 2026PodbeskidzievsNieciecza
- Nov 21, 2026Ruch ChorzówvsWarta Poznań
- Nov 21, 2026Stal RzeszówvsPolonia Bytom
- Nov 21, 2026Unia SkierniewicevsPogoń Siedlce
- Nov 21, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsArka Gdynia
- Nov 21, 2026Polonia WarszawavsStal Mielec