Match

Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Rzeszów: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, Skierniewice

Unia SkierniewiceStal Rzeszów

The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Rzeszów?

Unia Skierniewice starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,912 vs 1,723).

Unia Skierniewice win61 %
Draw22 %
Stal Rzeszów win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Skierniewice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Stal Rzeszów have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Skierniewice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Miedz Legnica(home)0-3I Liga
Aug 10, 2026Arka Gdynia(home)2-0I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Sokół Kleczew(home)2-2Cup
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Warszawa(away)1-3I Liga
Stal Rzeszów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Ruch Chorzów(home)0-1I Liga
Aug 14, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Stal Mielec(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Arka Gdynia(away)0-4I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)1-5I Liga

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Unia Skierniewice1.71.358/1511/15
Stal Rzeszów1.32.3111/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Skierniewice sit 12th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Stal Rzeszów sit 18th (2 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Unia Skierniewice5203586
18Stal Rzeszów50233122

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Rzeszów?
The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Stal Rzeszów.
Where and when is Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Rzeszów played?
Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Rzeszów is played on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Unia Skierniewice and Stal Rzeszów

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