Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Rzeszów: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, Skierniewice
The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Rzeszów?
Unia Skierniewice starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,912 vs 1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Skierniewice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Stal Rzeszów have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-4 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-5 | I Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unia Skierniewice | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Stal Rzeszów | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unia Skierniewice sit 12th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Stal Rzeszów sit 18th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Unia Skierniewice | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszów | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Rzeszów?
- The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Stal Rzeszów.
- Where and when is Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Rzeszów played?
- Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Rzeszów is played on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsNieciecza
- Aug 28, 2026Odra OpolevsŁKS Łódź
- Aug 29, 2026Pogoń SiedlcevsStal Mielec
- Aug 29, 2026Polonia WarszawavsLechia Gdansk
- Aug 29, 2026Puszcza NiepołomicevsPodbeskidzie
- Aug 30, 2026Miedz LegnicavsWarta Poznań
- Aug 30, 2026Arka GdyniavsPolonia Bytom
- Aug 30, 2026Chrobry GłogówvsRuch Chorzów