Where and when is Miedz Legnica vs Warta Poznań played?

Miedz Legnica vs Warta Poznań is played on August 30, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion im. Orła Białego, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Miedz Legnica vs Warta Poznań: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Stadion im. Orła Białego, Legnica

Miedz Legnica

Warta Poznań

The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Warta Poznań. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Miedz Legnica vs Warta Poznań?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Miedz Legnica (1,898) and Warta Poznań (1,884).

Miedz Legnica win42 %

Draw26 %

Warta Poznań win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Miedz Legnica have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Warta Poznań have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Miedz Legnica
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Arka Gdynia(home)	2-0	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(away)	3-0	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(away)	2-0	I Liga
Jul 27, 2026	Podbeskidzie(home)	1-1	I Liga

Warta Poznań
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Odra Opole(away)	1-3	I Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	2-1	I Liga
Aug 5, 2026	Resovia Rzeszów(home)	0-1	Cup
Jul 31, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	3-0	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Miedz Legnica win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Warta Poznań win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 21, 2025	Miedz Legnica 3-2 Warta Poznań	I Liga
Jan 18, 2025	Miedz Legnica 0-0 Warta Poznań	Friendlies Clubs
Oct 4, 2024	Warta Poznań 1-4 Miedz Legnica	I Liga
Feb 13, 2023	Warta Poznań 1-1 Miedz Legnica	Ekstraklasa
Jul 30, 2022	Miedz Legnica 1-2 Warta Poznań	Ekstraklasa
Jul 2, 2022	Warta Poznań 1-0 Miedz Legnica	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Miedz Legnica vs Warta Poznań on Apr 21, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Miedz Legnica	1.3	1.1	6	6/15	7/15
Warta Poznań	1.7	1.6	5	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Miedz Legnica sit 2nd in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Warta Poznań sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Miedz Legnica	5	3	1	1	8	2	10
6	Warta Poznań	5	3	0	2	10	8	9

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Miedz Legnica vs Warta Poznań?: The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Warta Poznań.
Where and when is Miedz Legnica vs Warta Poznań played?: Miedz Legnica vs Warta Poznań is played on August 30, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion im. Orła Białego, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.