Match

ŁKS Łódź vs Warta Poznań: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, Łódź

ŁKS ŁódźWarta Poznań

The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Warta Poznań. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win ŁKS Łódź vs Warta Poznań?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate ŁKS Łódź (1,898) and Warta Poznań (1,884).

ŁKS Łódź win43 %
Draw26 %
Warta Poznań win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ŁKS Łódź have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Warta Poznań have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

ŁKS Łódź
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Stal Mielec(home)4-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Nieciecza(home)2-1I Liga
Aug 9, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)1-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026Polonia Bytom(home)2-1I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(away)1-1I Liga
Warta Poznań
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Odra Opole(away)1-3I Liga
Aug 9, 2026Nieciecza(away)2-1I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Resovia Rzeszów(home)0-1Cup
Jul 31, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)3-0I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 ŁKS Łódź win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Warta Poznań win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2025ŁKS Łódź 3-1 Warta PoznańI Liga
Aug 20, 2024Warta Poznań 2-4 ŁKS ŁódźI Liga
Mar 11, 2024Warta Poznań 0-1 ŁKS ŁódźEkstraklasa
Sep 1, 2023ŁKS Łódź 0-2 Warta PoznańEkstraklasa
Mar 16, 2019ŁKS Łódź 3-0 Warta PoznańI Liga
Aug 25, 2018Warta Poznań 0-2 ŁKS ŁódźI Liga

Last archived meeting: ŁKS Łódź vs Warta Poznań on Mar 7, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

ŁKS Łódź score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
ŁKS Łódź1.91.3211/1512/15
Warta Poznań1.71.659/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

ŁKS Łódź sit 3rd in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Warta Poznań sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3ŁKS Łódź531110510
6Warta Poznań53021089

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for ŁKS Łódź vs Warta Poznań?
The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Warta Poznań.
Where and when is ŁKS Łódź vs Warta Poznań played?
ŁKS Łódź vs Warta Poznań is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: ŁKS Łódź and Warta Poznań

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