ŁKS Łódź vs Warta Poznań: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, Łódź
The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Warta Poznań. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ŁKS Łódź vs Warta Poznań?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate ŁKS Łódź (1,898) and Warta Poznań (1,884).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ŁKS Łódź have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Warta Poznań have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stal Mielec(home) | 4-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(home) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 ŁKS Łódź win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Warta Poznań win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | ŁKS Łódź 3-1 Warta Poznań | I Liga |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Warta Poznań 2-4 ŁKS Łódź | I Liga |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Warta Poznań 0-1 ŁKS Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 1, 2023 | ŁKS Łódź 0-2 Warta Poznań | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 16, 2019 | ŁKS Łódź 3-0 Warta Poznań | I Liga |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Warta Poznań 0-2 ŁKS Łódź | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: ŁKS Łódź vs Warta Poznań on Mar 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
ŁKS Łódź score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ŁKS Łódź | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Warta Poznań | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ŁKS Łódź sit 3rd in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Warta Poznań sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ŁKS Łódź | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Warta Poznań | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ŁKS Łódź vs Warta Poznań?
- The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Warta Poznań.
- Where and when is ŁKS Łódź vs Warta Poznań played?
- ŁKS Łódź vs Warta Poznań is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Miedz LegnicavsPolonia Warszawa
- Apr 24, 2027Lechia GdanskvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Apr 24, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsStal Mielec
- Apr 24, 2027NiecieczavsArka Gdynia
- Apr 24, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsOdra Opole
- Apr 24, 2027Stal RzeszówvsPodbeskidzie
- Apr 24, 2027Polonia BytomvsUnia Skierniewice
- Apr 24, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsRuch Chorzów