Lechia Gdansk vs Puszcza Niepołomice: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, Gdańsk
The Footlab model makes Lechia Gdansk the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Puszcza Niepołomice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lechia Gdansk vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Lechia Gdansk (1,850) and Puszcza Niepołomice (1,836).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia Gdansk have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Puszcza Niepołomice have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Lechia Gdansk win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Puszcza Niepołomice 1-3 Lechia Gdansk | Cup |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Lechia Gdansk 0-2 Puszcza Niepołomice | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Puszcza Niepołomice 4-1 Lechia Gdansk | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 9, 2021 | Puszcza Niepołomice 3-1 Lechia Gdansk | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk on Oct 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia Gdansk | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Puszcza Niepołomice | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lechia Gdansk sit 16th in I Liga (4 points from 5 matches) and Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 17 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lechia Gdansk vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
- The Footlab model makes Lechia Gdansk the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Puszcza Niepołomice.
- Where and when is Lechia Gdansk vs Puszcza Niepołomice played?
- Lechia Gdansk vs Puszcza Niepołomice is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Miedz LegnicavsPolonia Warszawa
- Apr 24, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsStal Mielec
- Apr 24, 2027NiecieczavsArka Gdynia
- Apr 24, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsWarta Poznań
- Apr 24, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsOdra Opole
- Apr 24, 2027Stal RzeszówvsPodbeskidzie
- Apr 24, 2027Polonia BytomvsUnia Skierniewice
- Apr 24, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsRuch Chorzów