Match

Lechia Gdansk vs Puszcza Niepołomice: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, Gdańsk

Lechia GdanskPuszcza Niepołomice

The Footlab model makes Lechia Gdansk the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Puszcza Niepołomice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lechia Gdansk vs Puszcza Niepołomice?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Lechia Gdansk (1,850) and Puszcza Niepołomice (1,836).

Lechia Gdansk win43 %
Draw26 %
Puszcza Niepołomice win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia Gdansk have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Puszcza Niepołomice have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lechia Gdansk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(home)1-0I Liga
Aug 14, 2026Ruch Chorzów(away)0-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Podbeskidzie(away)2-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026Warta Poznań(home)0-3I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)0-3I Liga
Puszcza Niepołomice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Unia Skierniewice(home)0-1I Liga
Aug 17, 2026Arka Gdynia(away)0-3I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Odra Opole(home)3-1I Liga
Aug 2, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)0-1I Liga
Jul 26, 2026Polonia Warszawa(home)0-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Lechia Gdansk win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 29, 2025Puszcza Niepołomice 1-3 Lechia GdanskCup
Feb 23, 2025Lechia Gdansk 0-2 Puszcza NiepołomiceEkstraklasa
Aug 16, 2024Puszcza Niepołomice 4-1 Lechia GdanskEkstraklasa
Feb 9, 2021Puszcza Niepołomice 3-1 Lechia GdanskCup

Last archived meeting: Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk on Oct 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lechia Gdansk1.12.119/1511/15
Puszcza Niepołomice0.81.534/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lechia Gdansk sit 16th in I Liga (4 points from 5 matches) and Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Lechia Gdansk5113394
17Puszcza Niepołomice5104373

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lechia Gdansk vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
The Footlab model makes Lechia Gdansk the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Puszcza Niepołomice.
Where and when is Lechia Gdansk vs Puszcza Niepołomice played?
Lechia Gdansk vs Puszcza Niepołomice is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lechia Gdansk and Puszcza Niepołomice

Ready to know everything about football?