Match

Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, Mielec

Stal MielecChrobry Głogów

The Footlab AI model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Stal Mielec. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chrobry Głogów wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Stal Mielec (1,758) and Chrobry Głogów (1,797).

37%25%38%
Stal Mielec winDrawChrobry Głogów win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Stal Mielec

4-4-1-1
  1. 90P. Kruszelnicki
  1. 32F. Gerbowski
  2. 23K. Getinger
  3. 7M. Cebula
  4. 10M. Domański
  5. 19T. Gmur
  1. 2B. Kukułowicz
  2. 14K. Kościelny
  3. 38Michael Wyparlo
  4. 44Israel Puerto
  1. 41Piotr Chrapusta

Chrobry Głogów

4-3-3
  1. 7K. Ibe-Torti
  2. 11S. Strózik
  3. 17A. Sadiku
  1. 24K. Grzelak
  2. 5R. Bąk
  3. 15W. Staszak
  1. 8J. Grič
  2. 77M. Bartolewski
  3. 80K. Tabiś
  4. 21M. Kozajda
  1. 22K. Bąkowski

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:56 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Mielec have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Chrobry Głogów have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Mielec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Warta Poznań(home)2-1I Liga
Sep 19, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)1-7I Liga
Sep 14, 2026Nieciecza(home)1-2I Liga
Sep 5, 2026Odra Opole(home)1-1I Liga
Sep 2, 2026Górnik Łęczna(away)3-3Cup
Chrobry Głogów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)0-4I Liga
Oct 3, 2026Warta Poznań(home)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Polonia Warszawa(away)0-2I Liga
Sep 12, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(home)0-0I Liga
Sep 5, 2026Miedz Legnica(away)1-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stal Mielec wins, 1 draw, 3 Chrobry Głogów wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 17, 2026Chrobry Głogów 2-1 Stal MielecI Liga
Oct 3, 2025Stal Mielec 1-2 Chrobry GłogówI Liga
Jul 14, 2020Stal Mielec 1-0 Chrobry GłogówI Liga
Oct 27, 2019Chrobry Głogów 1-0 Stal MielecI Liga
Apr 28, 2019Stal Mielec 5-1 Chrobry GłogówI Liga
Oct 13, 2018Chrobry Głogów 0-0 Stal MielecI Liga

Last archived meeting: Chrobry Głogów vs Stal Mielec on Apr 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Mielec score 1.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chrobry Głogów score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stal Mielec1.92.3013/1511/15
Chrobry Głogów1.11.437/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Mielec sit 14th in I Liga (12 points from 10 matches) and Chrobry Głogów sit 12th (12 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Chrobry Głogów10334111212
14Stal Mielec10334162412

A question about Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów?
The Footlab AI model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Stal Mielec.
Where and when is Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów played?
Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Stal Mielec and Chrobry Głogów

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