Where and when is Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów played?

Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, Mielec

Stal Mielec

Chrobry Głogów

The Footlab model makes Stal Mielec the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Chrobry Głogów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Stal Mielec (1,821) and Chrobry Głogów (1,855).

Stal Mielec win38 %

Draw25 %

Chrobry Głogów win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Mielec have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Chrobry Głogów have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Mielec
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	0-4	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Polonia Bytom(home)	5-2	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Podbeskidzie(home)	3-3	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(away)	2-1	I Liga

Chrobry Głogów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Podbeskidzie(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 9, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	2-1	I Liga
Aug 3, 2026	Odra Opole(home)	0-1	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(away)	5-1	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stal Mielec win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chrobry Głogów win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 17, 2026	Chrobry Głogów 2-1 Stal Mielec	I Liga
Oct 3, 2025	Stal Mielec 1-2 Chrobry Głogów	I Liga
Jul 14, 2020	Stal Mielec 1-0 Chrobry Głogów	I Liga
Oct 27, 2019	Chrobry Głogów 1-0 Stal Mielec	I Liga
Apr 28, 2019	Stal Mielec 5-1 Chrobry Głogów	I Liga
Oct 13, 2018	Chrobry Głogów 0-0 Stal Mielec	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Chrobry Głogów vs Stal Mielec on Apr 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Mielec score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stal Mielec	2.1	1.9	0	13/15	12/15
Chrobry Głogów	1.5	1.6	0	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Mielec sit 7th in I Liga (8 points from 5 matches) and Chrobry Głogów sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Stal Mielec	5	2	2	1	11	11	8
8	Chrobry Głogów	5	2	1	2	8	5	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów?: The Footlab model makes Stal Mielec the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Chrobry Głogów.
Where and when is Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów played?: Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.