Where and when is Nieciecza vs Arka Gdynia played?

Nieciecza vs Arka Gdynia is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nieciecza vs Arka Gdynia: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, Nieciecza

Nieciecza

Arka Gdynia

The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Arka Gdynia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nieciecza vs Arka Gdynia?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Nieciecza (1,871) and Arka Gdynia (1,900).

Nieciecza win42 %

Draw25 %

Arka Gdynia win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nieciecza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Arka Gdynia have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nieciecza
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-3	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	1-2	I Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	1-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(away)	2-1	I Liga
Jul 27, 2026	Nea Salamis(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Arka Gdynia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Miedz Legnica(away)	0-2	I Liga
Aug 17, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(home)	3-0	I Liga
Aug 10, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(away)	0-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(home)	4-0	I Liga
Jul 24, 2026	Odra Opole(away)	1-0	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nieciecza win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Arka Gdynia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 18, 2026	Arka Gdynia 2-3 Nieciecza	Ekstraklasa
Nov 21, 2025	Nieciecza 2-0 Arka Gdynia	Ekstraklasa
May 4, 2025	Arka Gdynia 2-1 Nieciecza	I Liga
Oct 26, 2024	Nieciecza 2-1 Arka Gdynia	I Liga
Dec 11, 2023	Nieciecza 2-1 Arka Gdynia	I Liga
Jul 21, 2023	Arka Gdynia 2-2 Nieciecza	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza on May 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Arka Gdynia score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nieciecza	2.1	1.6	4	10/15	10/15
Arka Gdynia	1.2	1.5	6	4/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nieciecza sit 11th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Arka Gdynia sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Arka Gdynia	5	3	0	2	8	4	9
11	Nieciecza	5	2	0	3	7	8	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nieciecza vs Arka Gdynia?: The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Arka Gdynia.
Where and when is Nieciecza vs Arka Gdynia played?: Nieciecza vs Arka Gdynia is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.