Match

Nieciecza vs Arka Gdynia: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, Nieciecza

NiecieczaArka Gdynia

The Footlab AI model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Arka Gdynia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nieciecza wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,387 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nieciecza vs Arka Gdynia?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Nieciecza (1,854) and Arka Gdynia (1,814).

45%26%29%
Nieciecza winDrawArka Gdynia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nieciecza vs Arka Gdynia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nieciecza

4-3-3
  1. 19I. Durdov
  2. 25K. Zapolnik
  3. 17D. Biniek
  1. 20M. Jaroszewski
  2. 21D. Hilbrycht
  3. 8R. Kurzawa
  1. 5L. Masoero
  2. 16M. Kozik
  3. 4A. Zarówny
  4. 44M. Synoś
  1. 1A. Chovan

Arka Gdynia

4-3-3
  1. 9V. Gutkovskis
  2. 17N. Dzięgielewski
  3. 71J. Kowalski
  1. 28M. Ambrosiewicz
  2. 16Kuba Solecki
  3. 11D. Kocyła
  1. 94D. Gojny
  2. 4M. Komenda
  3. 6K. Lipkowski
  4. 44J. Dominguez
  1. 33J. Grobelny

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 05:19 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nieciecza have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Arka Gdynia have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nieciecza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)2-2I Liga
Oct 31, 2026Miedz Legnica(away)1-1I Liga
Oct 27, 2026Olimpia Grudziądz(away)1-0Cup
Oct 24, 2026Arka Gdynia(away)1-3I Liga
Oct 19, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(home)2-0I Liga
Arka Gdynia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Podbeskidzie(home)3-1I Liga
Nov 3, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)0-0I Liga
Oct 29, 2026Stal Rzeszów(home)1-2Cup
Oct 24, 2026Nieciecza(home)3-1I Liga
Oct 18, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)1-2I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nieciecza wins, 0 draws, 2 Arka Gdynia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Arka Gdynia 3-1 NiecieczaI Liga
May 18, 2026Arka Gdynia 2-3 NiecieczaEkstraklasa
Nov 21, 2025Nieciecza 2-0 Arka GdyniaEkstraklasa
May 4, 2025Arka Gdynia 2-1 NiecieczaI Liga
Oct 26, 2024Nieciecza 2-1 Arka GdyniaI Liga
Dec 11, 2023Nieciecza 2-1 Arka GdyniaI Liga

Last archived meeting: Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza on Oct 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nieciecza score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arka Gdynia score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nieciecza1.81.5312/1511/15
Arka Gdynia1.51.439/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nieciecza sit 6th in I Liga (22 points from 14 matches) and Arka Gdynia sit 12th (18 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Nieciecza14644222022
12Arka Gdynia14536191718

A question about Nieciecza vs Arka Gdynia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nieciecza vs Arka Gdynia?
The Footlab AI model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Arka Gdynia.
Where and when is Nieciecza vs Arka Gdynia played?
Nieciecza vs Arka Gdynia is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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