Pogoń Siedlce vs Odra Opole: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce
The Footlab model makes Odra Opole the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Odra Opole?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Pogoń Siedlce (1,759) and Odra Opole (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń Siedlce have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Odra Opole have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Pogoń Siedlce win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Odra Opole win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Odra Opole 1-0 Pogoń Siedlce | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Pogoń Siedlce 0-1 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Pogoń Siedlce 0-1 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Odra Opole 4-1 Pogoń Siedlce | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Odra Opole vs Pogoń Siedlce on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Odra Opole score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń Siedlce | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Odra Opole | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Odra Opole sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Odra Opole | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 14 | Pogoń Siedlce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pogoń Siedlce vs Odra Opole?
- The Footlab model makes Odra Opole the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Pogoń Siedlce.
- Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Odra Opole played?
- Pogoń Siedlce vs Odra Opole is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Miedz LegnicavsPolonia Warszawa
- Apr 24, 2027Lechia GdanskvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Apr 24, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsStal Mielec
- Apr 24, 2027NiecieczavsArka Gdynia
- Apr 24, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsWarta Poznań
- Apr 24, 2027Stal RzeszówvsPodbeskidzie
- Apr 24, 2027Polonia BytomvsUnia Skierniewice
- Apr 24, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsRuch Chorzów