Match

Pogoń Siedlce vs Odra Opole: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce

Pogoń SiedlceOdra Opole

The Footlab model makes Odra Opole the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Odra Opole?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Pogoń Siedlce (1,759) and Odra Opole (1,803).

Pogoń Siedlce win34 %
Draw29 %
Odra Opole win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń Siedlce have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Odra Opole have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogoń Siedlce
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)0-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Polonia Warszawa(home)1-0I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Bytom(away)2-2I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Nieciecza(home)1-2I Liga
Jul 25, 2026ŁKS Łódź(home)1-1I Liga
Odra Opole
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Podbeskidzie(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Warta Poznań(home)3-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(away)1-3I Liga
Aug 3, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)1-0I Liga
Jul 24, 2026Arka Gdynia(home)0-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Pogoń Siedlce win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Odra Opole win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 6, 2026Odra Opole 1-0 Pogoń SiedlceI Liga
Aug 3, 2025Pogoń Siedlce 0-1 Odra OpoleI Liga
Dec 8, 2024Pogoń Siedlce 0-1 Odra OpoleI Liga
Jul 28, 2024Odra Opole 4-1 Pogoń SiedlceI Liga

Last archived meeting: Odra Opole vs Pogoń Siedlce on Feb 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Odra Opole score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pogoń Siedlce1.11.838/159/15
Odra Opole1.11.257/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Odra Opole sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Odra Opole5212667
14Pogoń Siedlce5122565

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogoń Siedlce vs Odra Opole?
The Footlab model makes Odra Opole the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Odra Opole played?
Pogoń Siedlce vs Odra Opole is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Pogoń Siedlce and Odra Opole

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