Miedz Legnica vs Polonia Warszawa: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Orła Białego, Legnica
The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Polonia Warszawa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Miedz Legnica vs Polonia Warszawa?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Miedz Legnica (1,898) and Polonia Warszawa (1,886).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Miedz Legnica have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Polonia Warszawa have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(away) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Miedz Legnica win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Polonia Warszawa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa 1-1 Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Miedz Legnica 1-1 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Miedz Legnica 2-3 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Polonia Warszawa 0-1 Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Miedz Legnica 2-1 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2023 | Polonia Warszawa 3-4 Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Warszawa score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miedz Legnica | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Polonia Warszawa | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Miedz Legnica sit 2nd in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Warszawa sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Miedz Legnica | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Polonia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Miedz Legnica vs Polonia Warszawa?
- The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Polonia Warszawa.
- Where and when is Miedz Legnica vs Polonia Warszawa played?
- Miedz Legnica vs Polonia Warszawa is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Orła Białego, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Lechia GdanskvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Apr 24, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsStal Mielec
- Apr 24, 2027NiecieczavsArka Gdynia
- Apr 24, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsWarta Poznań
- Apr 24, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsOdra Opole
- Apr 24, 2027Stal RzeszówvsPodbeskidzie
- Apr 24, 2027Polonia BytomvsUnia Skierniewice
- Apr 24, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsRuch Chorzów