Where and when is Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar played?

Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abel Sastre, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 28Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Abel Sastre, Puerto Madryn, Provincia de Chubut

Deportivo Madryn

Ciudad de Bolívar

The Footlab model makes Deportivo Madryn the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Ciudad de Bolívar. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Deportivo Madryn (1,860) and Ciudad de Bolívar (1,770).

Deportivo Madryn win60 %

Draw25 %

Ciudad de Bolívar win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Madryn have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Ciudad de Bolívar have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Madryn
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Godoy Cruz(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 21, 2026	Atletico Mitre(home)	4-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026	San Martin Tucuman(away)	2-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026	CA Estudiantes(away)	1-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	All Boys(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional

Ciudad de Bolívar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Racing Cordoba(home)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Agropecuario(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026	Almirante Brown(away)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Atletico Mitre(home)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Jul 25, 2026	CA Estudiantes(away)	2-1	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Deportivo Madryn win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ciudad de Bolívar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Ciudad de Bolívar 1-0 Deportivo Madryn	Primera Nacional
Sep 29, 2021	Ciudad de Bolívar 1-0 Deportivo Madryn	Torneo Federal A
Jul 3, 2021	Deportivo Madryn 1-0 Ciudad de Bolívar	Torneo Federal A

Last archived meeting: Ciudad de Bolívar vs Deportivo Madryn on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Madryn score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ciudad de Bolívar score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Madryn	1.5	0.9	7	7/15	8/15
Ciudad de Bolívar	0.9	1.1	5	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Madryn sit 4th in Primera Nacional (43 points from 26 matches) and Ciudad de Bolívar sit 8th (35 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Deportivo Madryn	26	11	10	5	38	24	43
8	Ciudad de Bolívar	26	8	11	7	22	23	35

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar?: The Footlab model makes Deportivo Madryn the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Ciudad de Bolívar.
Where and when is Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar played?: Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abel Sastre, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.