Match

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, Colorado

Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes

The Footlab AI model makes Colorado Rapids the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for San Jose Earthquakes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colorado Rapids wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Colorado Rapids (1,837) and San Jose Earthquakes (1,890).

39%25%36%
Colorado Rapids winDrawSan Jose Earthquakes win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Colorado Rapids

4-3-3
  1. 10P. Aaronson
  2. 32D. Phillip
  3. 7M. Whittaker
  1. 12J. Atencio
  2. 8H. Ojediran
  3. 13W. Frederick II
  1. 6R. Holding
  2. 5Loïc Williams
  3. 29M. Navarro
  4. 4R. Cannon
  1. 41N. Defreitas

San Jose Earthquakes

3-4-2-1
  1. 7O. Bouda
  1. 34Beau Leroux
  2. 23E. Löwen
  3. 10N. Tsakiris
  4. 2J. Ricketts
  5. 14R. Vieira
  6. 87Vítor Costa
  1. 5D. Munie
  2. 4D. Romney
  3. 18R. Roberts
  1. 1A. Gunn

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:02 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colorado Rapids have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; San Jose Earthquakes have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Colorado Rapids
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Los Angeles Galaxy(away)2-3Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Seattle Sounders(home)3-3Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2026St. Louis City(home)0-3US Open Cup
Sep 13, 2026CF Montreal(home)1-0Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026Austin(away)1-1Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Portland Timbers(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2026Los Angeles FC(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026Houston Dynamo(home)1-0Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026San Diego(away)3-2Major League Soccer
Sep 6, 2026Austin(away)1-1Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Colorado Rapids wins, 1 draw, 2 San Jose Earthquakes wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 21, 2026Colorado Rapids 2-0 San Jose EarthquakesUS Open Cup
May 11, 2025Colorado Rapids 0-2 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
May 12, 2024Colorado Rapids 2-3 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
Apr 14, 2024San Jose Earthquakes 0-3 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
Jun 4, 2023Colorado Rapids 0-0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes on May 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Colorado Rapids score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; San Jose Earthquakes score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Colorado Rapids1.11.374/156/15
San Jose Earthquakes1.32.0210/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Colorado Rapids sit 8th in Major League Soccer (36 points from 27 matches) and San Jose Earthquakes sit 4th (45 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4San Jose Earthquakes271368493945
8Colorado Rapids2711313383836

A question about Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The Footlab AI model makes Colorado Rapids the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for San Jose Earthquakes.
Where and when is Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes played?
Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Dick's Sporting Goods Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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