Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, Colorado
The Footlab model makes Colorado Rapids the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Seattle Sounders. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Colorado Rapids (1,806) and Seattle Sounders (1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colorado Rapids have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Seattle Sounders have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sporting Kansas City(home) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | St. Louis City(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 23, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 3-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 0-3 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Colorado Rapids win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Seattle Sounders win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2026 | Seattle Sounders 2-0 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Seattle Sounders 3-3 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Colorado Rapids 1-1 Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Colorado Rapids 0-1 Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Seattle Sounders 1-1 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Colorado Rapids 1-2 Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Seattle Sounders vs Colorado Rapids on Feb 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colorado Rapids score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Seattle Sounders score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Seattle Sounders | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colorado Rapids sit 7th in Major League Soccer (28 points from 20 matches) and Seattle Sounders sit 12th (24 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 25 | 28 |
| 12 | Seattle Sounders | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders?
- The Footlab model makes Colorado Rapids the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Seattle Sounders.
- Where and when is Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders played?
- Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Dick's Sporting Goods Park, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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