DC United vs Charlotte: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Audi Field, Washington, District of Columbia
The Footlab model makes DC United the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Charlotte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win DC United vs Charlotte?
Charlotte starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, DC United have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Charlotte have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | New England Revolution(home) | 0-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nashville SC(home) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Toronto FC(home) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Toronto FC(away) | 3-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Columbus Crew(home) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 0-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 3-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 DC United win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Charlotte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | DC United 0-1 Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Charlotte 2-1 DC United | Major League Soccer |
| May 21, 2025 | DC United 2-2 Charlotte | US Open Cup |
| Oct 20, 2024 | DC United 0-3 Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Charlotte 1-0 DC United | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Charlotte 0-0 DC United | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: DC United vs Charlotte on Oct 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
DC United score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Charlotte score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DC United | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Charlotte | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
DC United sit 9th in Major League Soccer (24 points from 20 matches) and Charlotte sit 6th (29 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Charlotte | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 29 |
| 9 | DC United | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for DC United vs Charlotte?
- The Footlab model makes DC United the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Charlotte.
- Where and when is DC United vs Charlotte played?
- DC United vs Charlotte is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Audi Field, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 18, 2026New York City FCvsNew York Red Bulls
- Sep 19, 2026San Jose EarthquakesvsLos Angeles FC
- Sep 19, 2026New England RevolutionvsOrlando City SC
- Sep 19, 2026CF MontrealvsColumbus Crew
- Sep 20, 2026St. Louis CityvsToronto FC
- Sep 20, 2026FC DallasvsAustin
- Sep 20, 2026Houston DynamovsFC Cincinnati
- Sep 20, 2026Sporting Kansas CityvsPhiladelphia Union