Where and when is Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati played?

Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Shell Energy Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, Texas

Houston Dynamo

FC Cincinnati

The Footlab model makes Houston Dynamo the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for FC Cincinnati. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Houston Dynamo (1,883) and FC Cincinnati (1,891).

Houston Dynamo win53 %

Draw23 %

FC Cincinnati win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Houston Dynamo have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; FC Cincinnati have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Houston Dynamo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Vancouver Whitecaps(away)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy(home)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 8, 2026	New England Revolution(away)	2-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026	Sporting Kansas City(away)	2-0	Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026	Austin(home)	3-0	Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	New York City FC(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	Orlando City SC(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Atlas(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026	U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home)	2-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 4, 2026	CF Pachuca(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Houston Dynamo win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 FC Cincinnati win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 28, 2026	Houston Dynamo 1-1 FC Cincinnati	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 30, 2025	FC Cincinnati 1-1 Houston Dynamo	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 26, 2023	FC Cincinnati 2-1 Houston Dynamo	Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2021	Houston Dynamo 1-1 FC Cincinnati	Major League Soccer
Jul 6, 2019	FC Cincinnati 3-2 Houston Dynamo	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati on Jan 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Houston Dynamo score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Cincinnati score 2.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Houston Dynamo	1.7	0.7	8	6/15	7/15
FC Cincinnati	2.7	1.8	2	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Houston Dynamo sit 1st in Major League Soccer (38 points from 20 matches) and FC Cincinnati sit 5th (30 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Houston Dynamo	20	12	2	6	29	24	38
5	FC Cincinnati	20	8	6	6	48	46	30

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati?: The Footlab model makes Houston Dynamo the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for FC Cincinnati.
Where and when is Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati played?: Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Shell Energy Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.